Recent Content by AdamG_SMB

  1. A simple price action approach

    Hi nakachalet, I actually don't have a title yet... turns out that is pretty much the hardest part of the process lol. I can tell you...
    Post by: AdamG_SMB, Jun 10, 2011 in forum: Technical Analysis

  2. A simple price action approach

    daal - here is the honest truth. i just ran a bunch of numbers for the book i'm writing and the problem is that that some definition of trend is...
    Post by: AdamG_SMB, Jun 10, 2011 in forum: Technical Analysis

  3. Anyone Posting their trades to twitter or FB?

    fwiw i do post my trades in real time... winners and losers... i'm on twitter AdamG_SMB and also do a video 1-2x / week on YouTube with setups...
    Post by: AdamG_SMB, Jun 9, 2011 in forum: Trading

  4. Probability of Next Trade

    :) haha. I actually lol'd at this one. Thanks for the late night laugh.
    Post by: AdamG_SMB, Jun 5, 2011 in forum: Strategy Building

  5. Probability of Next Trade

    why guess when we can do analysis of actual trade results and know? pull out the actual (real money) results from your last hundred trades and...
    Post by: AdamG_SMB, Jun 5, 2011 in forum: Strategy Building

  6. Probability of Next Trade

    Nope. Probably noise.
    Post by: AdamG_SMB, May 28, 2011 in forum: Strategy Building

  7. Probability of Next Trade

    imo the requisite variety idea is off the mark and far over-complicates something that is actually very simple. can u post an excel sheet with...
    Post by: AdamG_SMB, May 25, 2011 in forum: Strategy Building

  8. Probability of Next Trade

    please read my previous post
    Post by: AdamG_SMB, May 24, 2011 in forum: Strategy Building

  9. Probability of Next Trade

    You can do a simple analysis that will help. You don't have to guess or assume! if you have a large enough sample of trades that are arranged in...
    Post by: AdamG_SMB, May 24, 2011 in forum: Strategy Building

  10. Probability of Next Trade

    This is a good example of what is wrong with posts on message boards: "I have a great secret but I am not going to tell you." Your example...
    Post by: AdamG_SMB, May 22, 2011 in forum: Strategy Building

  11. Probability of Next Trade

    Please re-read my answer early in the thread. This is often correct, but not always. Some systems do show significant periods of autocorrelation...
    Post by: AdamG_SMB, May 22, 2011 in forum: Strategy Building

  12. Probability of Next Trade

    Good question and an important one. There are two answers: 1. assume that your trades are completely independent with a 65% chance of winning....
    Post by: AdamG_SMB, May 19, 2011 in forum: Strategy Building

  13. Trends in random data

    Thank you for the link trendo. Gucci, there is no variable amiss and as to what it was meant to proof [sic], I think that's clear from a reading...
    Post by: AdamG_SMB, Nov 21, 2010 in forum: Data Sets and Feeds