The ACD Method

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by sbrowne126, Jul 16, 2009.

  1. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Downside target in the ES is 2025 (QTR A down).
     
    #9921     Jul 24, 2015
  2. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    BTW, the ES never took out my yearly A up. Failed a half dozen times there. If we get a deep correction that 1900 level is a good target which is the yearly A down.
     
    #9922     Jul 24, 2015
  3. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    We've blown through all my upside targets. :)

    The August monthly A up will be my new target.
     
    #9923     Jul 24, 2015
  4. Max E.

    Max E.

    The thing is, There is no longer any flight to safety, heres the situation my old man is in, he just sold his business, he owned a bunch of bars, hes turning 70 this year, and he doesnt want to quit working, for the last 2 years hes had his money in short term cash deposits, making 1%........ hes now working for the people he sold his bars to because he cant even retire with 5 million dollars. Hes only getting 1 percent. Something has to give, at some point people wont sink their money in for a 1-2 percent return.

    He tried some commodity trader who promptly blew out his account when oil went down the tank. There is just no place left for wealthy people to park money and expect a reasonable rate of return. At some point theyve got to pull the pin and say whats the point risking my money for a measly couple percent, id rather be in cash.

    Im fully in with you on investing in the spy's, whenever a friend tries to ask me how to make money in the market they think im a guru who can turn them over 100% per year, i just had this argument with a buddy last night, i told him to sink his money in the spys and forget about it cause it will beat most fund managers, but hes convinced that some scheister out there will provide him a 50% return.

    I think that one thing alot of people in Canada are underestimating is the amount of damage oil is going to do...... Deutchebank rated Canadian housing as the most overvalued in the entire world, and this was before oil collapsed....... There has been a little pain in Canada with oil but nothing like what i think we could see if prices remain below 50, and all these junior companies trading at a couple bucks a share get completely whiped out. Right now theres alot of layoffs but those companies are still running an operation, wait till the rig pigs drive into work one day to see a no trespassing sign because the rig is now owned by the bank.

     
    #9924     Jul 24, 2015
  5. Max E.

    Max E.


    Do you got a couple good posts i could go to to bone up on this strat, or would i have to do the whole thread?
     
    #9925     Jul 24, 2015
  6. Products confirmed QTR ADn for me. No visibility on number lines yet but I think its time to short those failed A ups starting yesterday :).
     
    #9926     Jul 24, 2015
  7. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    I think reading the whole thread is a little overkill. Just maybe 90%. You can skip over King's posts. :)
     
    #9927     Jul 24, 2015
    kinggyppo likes this.
  8. hoop121

    hoop121


    no shortcuts around here. we all did it.
     
    #9928     Jul 24, 2015
  9. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    I think most seniors are in your dad's shoes minus the 5 million. LOL. And of course now your dad has to worry about your currency going to shit. Doesn't Canada have a nice Cadillac retirement program for seniors?

    Truthfully Max, there are some places your dad can put his money. There is some decent high grade corp debt out there with some yield on it. My mother is in some nice 7.50% paper and has been in it for years now. I only wish I put more of her money in that. But even with your currency going to shit, 5 million is a nice nest egg. Is that in US Dollars or Canadian?
     
    #9929     Jul 24, 2015
  10. In the old pagination I found most of the good stuff in the first 450-500 pages. You still have to go through the rest because here and there some really useful stuff was discussed. So we're probably talking about the first 400 pages that will take time, with notes and stuff, after that it gets faster.
     
    #9930     Jul 24, 2015