"Marketsurfer is correct: There is no Trends!" --- There are only Turns!

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by OddTrader, Jan 28, 2015.

  1. HFT is BS. HFT when it worked was just electronic front-running. Nobody can beat the banks in front running now. They have faster machines and networks. So if you were to try HFT, your money is going to the banks.

    No doubt you are going to tell me you know a friend who does it and making truck loads. Unless your friend is here to prove himself to be legit, I am afraid he doesn't count.
     
    #91     Jan 30, 2015
  2. I am consulting my lawyer right now to see if we will accept this overwhelming offer.......
    My lawyer says that i can put him on ignore, then he cannot ask it anymore. Stupid that i did not think about this myself. Could have saved me 100$. :(
     
    #92     Jan 30, 2015
    dartmus and lucysparabola like this.
  3. For a common nobody, the offer might seem underwhelming. But for a nobody who is trying to be somebody, my offer of permanently removing the noose that can spring up any moment is the offer of a life time. Without this noose removed, becoming somebody will be difficult.
     
    #93     Jan 30, 2015
  4. I know, that's why I realized myself that i am nobody. :confused:
     
    #94     Jan 30, 2015
  5. So what is your reason for not posting a trade then ? It will give away your strat ? It will give somebody a free ride ? For a nobody, the fear of failure shouldn't be a factor because no one will care about the win or loss of a nobody.
     
    Last edited: Jan 30, 2015
    #95     Jan 30, 2015
  6. Since nobody wants to post a trade, I guess I have to do it myself then. Here's a trade I lost just under 1% earlier. I was busy playing nethack and ignored all the alarms going off because I didn't think anything would happen around that time of the day. But them scumbag banks and market makers got the better of me

    I am working on to make back my loss double, triple, or quadruple. My trade is at the top with the scaffolding below. The scaffolding will be removed when the situation allows. If I am reading the market direction right, I will end up with an unassailable trade, and people will say: aha he got lucky. But in actual fact I had to work for it.

    This is advanced trade construction. Nobody try this at home. Details on the scaffolding is proprietary trade secret. No questions on it will be answered.

    [​IMG]
     
    #96     Jan 30, 2015
  7. Scaleout.Scalper

    Scaleout.Scalper Guest

    Sounds very experienced to me.
     
    #97     Jan 30, 2015
    lucysparabola likes this.
  8. Yes, indeed! Never seen here on ET before!

     
    Last edited: Jan 30, 2015
    #98     Jan 30, 2015
    lucysparabola likes this.
  9. Scaleout.Scalper

    Scaleout.Scalper Guest

    lol
     
    #99     Jan 30, 2015
  10. [​IMG] Yeah, all traders are interested in "trend", which is closely related
    to the old trader idea of "momentum". This is similar to the
    "bowling ball" analogy, but in reality there is no such thing.
    Prices trend, and have momentum because Market Makers
    benefit from forcing the population of traders to trend... But
    let's get into the issue of trend prediction.

    My research and development work has been in the field of
    Micro Scalping, so I am interested in predicting Micro Trend.

    First of all, most traders use "lagging" indicators based upon a
    "descriptive" indicator based upon Price movement. Describing
    an existing observed trend, using maybe linear regression or
    some such thing, is only "describing" what we see, but it is
    NOT "predicting" the future price behavior.

    What I seek, and have found after painstaking R&D work, are
    "leading indicators" of trend continuation, and trend change.

    BUT how could we have a "leading indicator"? It seems all we
    can do as humans is to describe what we see, and how can we
    know if it will continue, or when it may change?

    My answer to that is that "randomness" is only an opportunity to
    find "order within what seems to be random", which means find
    a predictor. What could be such a predictor?

    In a nutshell, Market Makers move markets through their overwhelming
    power, relative to retail traders. BEFORE Market Makers change a
    trend, they reposition their patterns of Bids and Offers on the
    Depth of Market, aka "the Book". So, proper Book Analysis is
    able to predict (ahead of time) both Trend continuation, and the
    process of Trend Change through "reading the minds" of the
    Market Makers.

    This applies mostly to short term Trends, but it is successful in
    turning what seems to be a Mystery or Random behaviors into
    predictable, and thus "tradable" price behaviors. Because Market
    Makers drive the markets, they "know" where they are headed
    next. By analyzing their behavior patterns, we may be able to
    "read their minds". :)

    Now that results in a truly "leading indicator" which is what traders
    want, since ALL trading depends upon predicting the future outcome.
    I reliably see trend change indications often minutes before the
    move becomes revealed in price movement, at which time it is
    too late to enter. In micro scalping you must be in "before" the
    price move is revealed to the trading public, who have only Price
    to look at (or indicators based on price).

    Good Trading !
    HyperScalper
     
    Last edited: Jan 31, 2015
    #100     Jan 31, 2015
    VPhantom likes this.