LONG ERY again @ $28.20, knowing my luck oil surges back to $50 tomorrow after the awesome jobs report, but hey I figure let me take my chances, its only 1/2 position!!!
Another lame cnbc poll, looks like most are holding stocks into the 3 day weekend.... How are you positioning your portfolio ahead of the holiday weekend? Adding 18% Holding 54% Selling 18% I don't own stocks 4% Not sure 6% Total Votes: 1894
If the stock market hits this level, then get nervous By Heather Long @byHeatherLong http://money.cnn.com/2015/09/02/investing/stocks-market-caution-level/index.html Time will tell who is right. But remember that we live in an era where computer trading dominates the American stock market. The "robots" that are making a lot of trading calls aren't sitting around pondering China's economy. They are paying attention to whether stocks fall below key levels. What are those levels? No one knows exactly. But these two metrics are worth watching. If these thresholds are crossed, both computer and human traders will consider it a game-changer point. 1. S&P 500 at 1,865 At the worst of the August selloff, the S&P 500 index closed at 1,867.61. It was hard to watch. The correction was finally here. While the market has continued to swing pretty wildly since then, it hasn't gotten back to that low point. Even more importantly, the S&P 500 didn't fall below the lowest close from October 2014 of 1,862.49. If that happens, it means a year of gains is gone. "I still believe that the current correction's closing low was made last Tuesday at 1867.61," wrote Ed Yardeni, president and chief investment strategist of Yardeni Research, in a note to clients. A lot of traders watch for when the S&P 500 gets below 1,900, but the real panic will set in if the index drops under about 1,865. That's likely the new new game-changer level, at least when it comes to momentum. (Currently, the S&P 500 is sitting at about 1,950). Related: The stock market is crazy, but don't panic 2. VIX fear factor index above 40 The other factor traders (and computer algorithms) watch is volatility, specifically the VIX Volatility Index. Trader Tim Anderson, the managing director of MND Partners, notes that most investors have never heard of the VIX. But it matters on the trading floor. "It's really a fear or panic indicator," he says. Traders actually like a little bit of volatility because they tend to make more money when more stocks are moving. But like everything in life, there's too hot as well as a Goldilocks point. In the past decade, the average level of the VIX has been 20. Think of that as normal. When the VIX gets above 30, it puts people on a bit of alert. That's about the level the VIX is at now. But the panic doesn't set in until the VIX climbs above 40 and closes there. That happened only once last week -- on Monday, August 24. After that spike, the VIX came back down. In the past decade, the only other times the VIX has surged above 40 and stayed there for a few days have been during the financial crisis (the VIX closed at a high of 80 in November 2008) and in August 2011 during the worst of the debt ceiling standoff between Congress and President Obama. That was when Standard & Poor's stripped America of its AAA debt rating status. When the VIX gets above 40 and stays there, it's another game changer. We're not there yet. Related: China is the scariest threat to stocks since 2009
Another mini rally going on, looks like again all losses from earlier this week will be completely erased.....added more shorts on the way up...SQQQ, DWTI and ERY! still wondering if I should sell my UDOW and SVXY I took positions in on Tuesday, hmmm. That was free money on that dip buying opportunity...
target of 2000 not far off....by tomorrow, ahead of the labour market weekend? stocks tend to do well pre US market holidays, ya know...
You know they are going to prop it up going into the holiday weekend, they want to make sure all those rich people who own stocks have great weekend, they would not end the week on a huge down note...so it doesn't matter what the job report is tomorrow stocks will close at highs of the day today and rally into the close tomorrow pushing the s$p certainly above 2000!!!!!