ES Journal - 2015

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Jan 8, 2015.

  1. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    Wouldnt you just need the 2, 10 and 60?
     
    #2431     Mar 28, 2015
  2. romik

    romik

    We don't always get book perfect indication of intentions. Ok, we didn't close below last week's low, yet we also failed to close above last week's high. I am seeing confluence of multiple indications, they may not be book perfect, life isn't perfect, we still adapt to various parameters of its imperfections and choose positive outcomes on most occasions, do we not?
     
    #2432     Mar 28, 2015
  3. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    There isn't an outside bar on weekly then.
     
    #2433     Mar 28, 2015
  4. romik

    romik

    Ish, I had a few glasses of red, right now I am all philosophical, I couldn't tell you for certain :)
     
    #2434     Mar 28, 2015
  5. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    How does monthly look?
     
    #2435     Mar 28, 2015
  6. romik

    romik

    I don't like the way MACD looks on that time frame, it suggests weak sentiment. I think you are very wise to reduce your long term investment portfolio at these levels. I am in no position to declare any statistical probability of a sell off, I am merely 'looking at the painting from a distance'.
     
    #2436     Mar 28, 2015
  7. Autodidact

    Autodidact

    Do we also have a range?

    Because an outside bar reversal inside a range has a completely different context. For instance, buy low, sell high as long as the range holds.

    This range is preceded by an uptrend giving better odds to a failed breakdown to come to the downside and a true breakout to come to the upside.

    Signals per se have different meanings as they are correlated to context.

    **EDITED for clarity
     
    #2437     Mar 28, 2015
  8. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    With that chart in mind, what is your perception of the next direction of the market?
     
    #2438     Mar 28, 2015
  9. Autodidact

    Autodidact

    Edited my post above, but a "failed breakdown" aka a bear trap, or breakout to the upside.
     
    Last edited: Mar 28, 2015
    #2439     Mar 28, 2015
  10. significant economic data this week may add to volatility.

    my longs look good still?

    this week be fun trade:)
     
    #2440     Mar 30, 2015