Can Short Term Trading Be More Profitable Than Long Term

Discussion in 'Trading' started by Fundlord, Apr 7, 2015.

  1. This reply is Edgy :D
    [​IMG]

    Can Short Term Trading Be More Profitable Than Long Term: Definitely, Yes. it's kind of impossible...to have a greater return by being long-term holding.
    but the keyword is CAN...the devil is in the details...if you're just a dumbass purely gambling...then no.
    you can make a return percentage of what hedge funds or mutual funds typically make in a year...in a day.
     
    Last edited: Apr 8, 2015
    #41     Apr 8, 2015
    lucysparabola and dbphoenix like this.
  2. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    This is from something I wrote about twenty years ago. If anything, it's easier to time the market now.

    upload_2015-4-8_4-29-46.png

    upload_2015-4-8_4-33-35.png
     
    #42     Apr 8, 2015
    Gringo likes this.
  3. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    Capital is not an edge, but quality of capital is. Most institutional investors can get stopped out of a trade. But if you have the ability to sustain volatility, there's a lot of opportunities that others can't pursue. It's one reason Warren Buffet has done so well: he never has to cut his position. Very few can hold their stock positions without some kind of redemption in scenario like 2008.
     
    #43     Apr 8, 2015
  4. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    The only problem with the conclusions above is that the majority of the gains and losses come from like 10% of the days. So the timing works if you are 100% right, but it's very easy to be wrong as a few of the days are what differentiates the performance of both strategies. Miss a few big up days and all of a sudden the timing strategy is way behind the buy and hold.
     
    #44     Apr 8, 2015
  5. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    upload_2015-4-8_6-5-58.png
     
    #45     Apr 8, 2015
    Gringo likes this.
  6. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    Would be very interested on reading this whole article instead of just snippets.
     
    #46     Apr 8, 2015
  7. See, now you're rational again. I can't get a handle on you, lol. Good post.
     
    #47     Apr 8, 2015
    Buy1Sell2 likes this.
  8. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    Not allowed to. Sorry.

    But that's all there is with regard to this particular study.
     
    Last edited: Apr 8, 2015
    #48     Apr 8, 2015
  9. taowave

    taowave

    Good point and I would add,"Capital is not an edge,but the quality of the guy running it is".
     
    #49     Apr 8, 2015
    Buy1Sell2 likes this.
  10. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    Correct. Capital and the prudent use thereof is the only true edge in trading.
     
    #50     Apr 8, 2015