Algo trading system gives 8371% profit in backtesting. Is it real?

Discussion in 'Strategy Building' started by Quanto, Jan 12, 2024.

  1. Quanto

    Quanto

    SimpleMeLike likes this.
  2. maxinger

    maxinger

    Similar Q has been asked a few thousand times.

    You can SEARCH for the answers.

    Also You have to test it with real $$$$.

    Similarly there are trading systems which yields 100% win rate.


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    MarkBrown likes this.
  3. Good Morning Quanto,

    I have an algo trading system I built the other day that made 20,000% in one month in back test. And another that made 100,000% in back test.

    Lol just kidding.

    But here is my point. You have to run it live for a year or two to see if theory matches real time.
     
  4. tsfx

    tsfx

    You scan for a strategy that matches a certain period of time in the past. How difficult is that? This activity is the main scamming method for subscriptions, lessons, EA marketing etc.
     
  5. Quanto

    Quanto

    You mean curve-fitting? :)
     
  6. tsfx

    tsfx

    probably that's the word yeah, english is not my native.
     
  7. Quanto

    Quanto

    But the question is: did the guy apply such a dirty-trick to get that result?
    I can't believe he did, but I don't have time to check it; maybe some of you guys can do a deep analysis...
     
  8. Occam

    Occam

    One major problem: it is a long-only strategy on AAPL, which returned 100,000% since 1993 (approximately 20 cents to $200, dividends reinvested). So this strategy actually vastly underperformed a buy-and-hodl strategy over the same period, and hence is totally worthless.


     
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  9. newbunch

    newbunch

    But it did it with less risk! :p
     
  10. hilmy83

    hilmy83

    I like how article starts off "well, we're not going to use traditional systems like rsi/sma crossover"..
    then proceeded to using fuckng donchian channel as if it's such a revoutionary new strategy.
     
    #10     Jan 12, 2024
    TrailerParkTed and newbunch like this.