Willy Technical Analysis

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by Willyw, May 1, 2016.

  1. Willyw

    Willyw

    Weekly US Dollar / Japanese Yen-USDJPY As of 29/04/16


    A big bearish black candle has formed. Prices closed considerably lower than open. If the candle appears when prices are "high," it may be the first sign of a top. If it occurs when prices are confronting an overhead resistance area, a moving average, trend line, or price resistance level, the long black candle adds credibility to the resistance. Likewise, if the candle appears as prices break below a support area, the long black candle confirms the failure of the support area.

    The previous 10 candlestick bars, there are 6 white candles versus 4 black candles with a net of 2 white candles.

    The previous 50 candlestick bars, there are 25 white candles versus 25 black candles.

    MACD is BEARISH as the MACD is below the signal line.

    The MACD crossed below the signal line 20 week(s) ago. Since the MACD crossed the MACD moving average, US Dollar / Japanese Yen's price has decreased12.05%, and has been fluctuating from a high of 123.538 to a low of 106.278.

    The MACD is currently not in an Overbought/Oversold range.

    There have been no divergence signals during the last 5 periods.

    The Stochastic Oscillator is currently below 20. This is an indication of the security being in an "oversold" condition.No Stochastic Buy or Sell signals generated today. The last signal was a Buy7 Week(s) Ago.

    The RSI is not currently in a topping (above 70) or bottoming (below 30) range. A buy or sell signal generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a Buy 2 week(s) ago.


    Currently the RSI does not show any Failure Swings. The price of US Dollar / Japanese Yen has set a new 14-period low while the RSI has not. This is a BULLISH DIVERGENCE.

    Currently, the Momentum Oscillator does not show an overbought or oversold condition.


    The last Directional Movement Indicators (DMI) signal was a SELL35 week(s) ago.

    There were no SAR signals generated today. The last SAR signal was a Sell16 week(s) ago.

    The close is currently

    BELOW its 200 weekly moving average

    BELOW its 50 weekly moving average

    BELOW its 20 weekly moving average

    The current market condition for US Dollar / Japanese Yen is Very Bearish

    US Dollar / Japanese Yen closed above the lower Bollinger Band by 2.3%. Bollinger Bands are 81.38% wider than normal.
     
  2. Willyw

    Willyw

    Daily US Dollar / Japanese Yen-USDJPY As of 29/04/16

    *** Intra-Daily Trading Strategy:BUY US Dollar / Japanese Yen

    Buy Target: 107.5213

    Enter New BUY on OPEN and exit BUY positions at Target price or at Stop price.

    (NOTE: Adjust Stop Loss Price according to your trading risk.)

    Do not reverse after exiting. This is a recommendation for INTRA-DAY TRADING only!!!!!

    * Chaos Trading System

    SELL signal generated today. ENTER SELL and exit buy at market price on the next Daily open.

    A black body has formed as prices closed lower than open.

    The previous 10 candlestick bars, there are 6 white candles versus 4 black candles with a net of 2 white candles.

    The previous 50 candlestick bars, there are 24 white candles versus 26 black candles with a net of 2 black candles.

    MACD is BEARISH as the MACD is below the signal line.

    The MACD crossed below the signal line 0 day(s) ago. Since the MACD crossed the MACD moving average, US Dollar / Japanese Yen's price has been unchanged, and has been fluctuating from a high of 108.028 to a low of 106.278.

    The MACD is currently not in an Overbought/Oversold range.

    There have been no divergence signals during the last 5 periods.

    No Stochastic Buy or Sell signals generated today. The last signal was a Sell 1 Day(s) Ago.

    The RSI is not currently in a topping (above 70) or bottoming (below 30) range. A buy or sell signal generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a Buy 13 day(s) ago.


    Currently the RSI does not show any Failure Swings. The price of US Dollar / Japanese Yen has set a new 14-period low while the RSI has not. This is a BULLISH DIVERGENCE.

    Currently, the Momentum Oscillator does not show an overbought or oversold condition.


    The last Directional Movement Indicators (DMI) signal was a SELL1 day(s) ago.

    There were no SAR signals generated today. The last SAR signal was a Sell1 day(s) ago.

    The close is currently

    BELOW its 200 daily moving average

    BELOW its 50 daily moving average

    BELOW its 20 daily moving average

    With strong confirmation from the short-term trend and a current Sell signal. The current market condition for US Dollar / Japanese Yen is Very Bearish

    US Dollar / Japanese Yen closed below the lower Bollinger Band by 6.1%. Although prices have broken the lower Bollinger Band and a downside breakout is possible, the most likely scenario is for the current trading range that US Dollar / Japanese Yen is in to continue. Bollinger Bands are 29.24% wider than normal. The current width of the Bollinger Bands (alone) does not suggest anything conclusive about the future volatility or movement of prices.
     
  3. Willyw

    Willyw

    Euro Dollar / US Dollar-EURUSD

    As of 02/05/16

    *** Intra-Daily Trading Strategy:SELL Euro Dollar / US Dollar

    Sell Target: 1.1468

    Sell Stop: 1.1590

    Enter New SELL on OPEN and exit SELL positions at Target price or at Stop price.

    (NOTE: Adjust Stop Loss Price according to your trading risk.)

    Do not reverse after exiting. This is a recommendation for INTRA-DAY TRADING only!!!!!


    A white body has formed as prices closed higher than open.

    The previous 10 candlestick bars, there are 7 white candles versus 3 black candles with a net of 4 white candles.

    The previous 50 candlestick bars, there are 25 white candles versus 24 black candles with a net of 1 white candles.

    Three white candles has formed during the last three bars. Although these candles were not big enough to create three white soldiers, the steady upward pattern is bullish.MACD is BULLISH as the MACD is above the signal line.

    The MACD crossed above the signal line 1 day(s) ago. Since the MACD crossed the MACD moving average, Euro Dollar / US Dollar's price has increased 0.66%, and has been fluctuating from a high of 1.153 to a low of 1.136.

    The MACD is currently not in an Overbought/Oversold range.

    There have been no divergence signals during the last 5 periods.

    The Stochastic Oscillator is currently above 80. This is an indication of the security being in an "overbought" condition.No Stochastic Buy or Sell signals generated today. The last signal was a Buy3 Day(s) Ago.

    The RSI is not currently in a topping (above 70) or bottoming (below 30) range. A buy or sell signal generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a Sell 56 day(s) ago.

    The RSI has just reached its highest value in the last 14 day(s). This is BULLISHsignal.


    Currently, the Momentum Oscillator does not show an overbought or oversold condition.


    The last Directional Movement Indicators (DMI) signal was a SELL86 day(s) ago.

    There were no SAR signals generated today. The last SAR signal was a Buy1 day(s) Ago.

    The close is currently

    ABOVE its 200 daily moving average

    ABOVE its 50 daily moving average

    ABOVE its 20 daily moving average

    With strong confirmation from the short term-trend and a current Buy signal. The current market condition for Euro Dollar / US Dollar is Very Bullish

    Euro Dollar / US Dollar closed above the upper Bollinger Band by 12.5%. Although prices have broken the upper Bollinger Band and an upside breakout is possible, the most likely scenario is for the current trading range that Euro Dollar / US Dollar is in to continue. Bollinger Bands are 35.72% narrower than normal. The current width of the Bollinger Bands (alone) does not suggest anything conclusive about the future volatility or movement of prices.
     
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  4. Willyw

    Willyw

    British Pound / US Dollar-GBPUSD As of 03/05/16

    *** Intra-Daily Trading Strategy:SELL British Pound / US Dollar

    Sell Target: 1.4462

    Enter New SELL on OPEN and exit SELL positions at Target price or at Stop price.

    (NOTE: Adjust Stop Loss Price according to your trading risk.)

    Do not reverse after exiting. This is a recommendation for INTRA-DAY TRADING only!!!!!


    A big bearish black candle has formed. Prices closed considerably lower than open. If the candle appears when prices are "high," it may be the first sign of a top. If it occurs when prices are confronting an overhead resistance area, a moving average, trend line, or price resistance level, the long black candle adds credibility to the resistance. Likewise, if the candle appears as prices break below a support area, the long black candle confirms the failure of the support area.

    The previous 10 candlestick bars, there are 5 white candles versus 5 black candles.

    The previous 50 candlestick bars, there are 26 white candles versus 23 black candles with a net of 3 white candles.

    A engulfing bearish line has formed where a black candle's real body completely contains the previous white candle's real body. The engulfing bearish pattern is bearish during an uptrend (which is the case with British Pound / US Dollar). It signifies that the momentum may be shifting from the bulls to the bears.

    If the engulfing bearish pattern occurs during a downtrend, it may be a last engulfing bottom which indicates a bullish reversal. The test to see if this is the case is if the next candle closes above the bottom the current (black) candle's real body.MACD is BULLISH as the MACD is above the signal line.

    The MACD crossed above the signal line 11 day(s) ago. Since the MACD crossed the MACD moving average, British Pound / US Dollar's price has increased 1.79%, and has been fluctuating from a high of 1.477 to a low of 1.413.

    The MACD is currently not in an Overbought/Oversold range.

    There have been no divergence signals during the last 5 periods.

    The Stochastic Oscillator is currently above 80. This is an indication of the security being in an "overbought" condition.No Stochastic Buy or Sell signals generated today. The last signal was a Sell 7 Day(s) Ago.

    The RSI is not currently in a topping (above 70) or bottoming (below 30) range. A buy or sell signal generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a Buy 46 day(s) ago.


    Currently the RSI does not show any Failure Swings. The RSI and price of British Pound / US Dollar are not diverging.

    Currently, the Momentum Oscillator does not show an overbought or oversold condition.


    The Directional Movement Indicators (DMI) currently is not indicating a specific price direction. Because this is a trend following system, it should not use to initiate any trades right now. The last Directional Movement Indicators (DMI) signal was a BUY 33 day(s) ago.

    There were no SAR signals generated today. The last SAR signal was a Buy10 day(s) Ago.

    The close is currently

    BELOW its 200 daily moving average

    ABOVE its 50 daily moving average

    ABOVE its 20 daily moving average

    The current market condition for British Pound / US Dollar is Mildly Bearish

    British Pound / US Dollar closed below the upper Bollinger Band by 23.8%. Bollinger Bands are 45.26% wider than normal.
     
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  5. Willyw

    Willyw

    US Dollar / Japanese Yen-USDJPY As of 04/05/16

    *** Intra-Daily Trading Strategy:SELL US Dollar / Japanese Yen

    Sell Target: 106.3530

    Enter New SELL on OPEN and exit SELL positions at Target price or at Stop price.

    (NOTE: Adjust Stop Loss Price according to your trading risk.)

    Do not reverse after exiting. This is a recommendation for INTRA-DAY TRADING only!!!!!


    A white body has formed as prices closed higher than open.

    The previous 10 candlestick bars, there are 6 white candles versus 4 black candles with a net of 2 white candles.

    The previous 50 candlestick bars, there are 25 white candles versus 25 black candles.

    Three white candles has formed during the last three bars. Although these candles were not big enough to create three white soldiers, the steady upward pattern is bullish.MACD is BEARISH as the MACD is below the signal line.

    The MACD crossed below the signal line 3 day(s) ago. Since the MACD crossed the MACD moving average, US Dollar / Japanese Yen's price has increased 0.50%, and has been fluctuating from a high of 108.028 to a low of 105.543.

    The MACD is currently not in an Overbought/Oversold range.

    There have been no divergence signals during the last 5 periods.

    The Stochastic Oscillator is currently below 20. This is an indication of the security being in an "oversold" condition.No Stochastic Buy or Sell signals generated today. The last signal was a Sell 4 Day(s) Ago.

    The RSI is not currently in a topping (above 70) or bottoming (below 30) range. A buy or sell signal generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a Buy 16 day(s) ago.


    Currently the RSI does not show any Failure Swings. The RSI and price of US Dollar / Japanese Yen are not diverging.

    Currently, the Momentum Oscillator does not show an overbought or oversold condition.


    The last Directional Movement Indicators (DMI) signal was a SELL4 day(s) ago.

    There were no SAR signals generated today. The last SAR signal was a Sell4 day(s) ago.

    The close is currently

    BELOW its 200 daily moving average

    BELOW its 50 daily moving average

    BELOW its 20 daily moving average

    The current market condition for US Dollar / Japanese Yen is Very Bearish

    US Dollar / Japanese Yen closed above the lower Bollinger Band by 18.8%. Bollinger Bands are 49.29% wider than normal.
     
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  6. Willyw

    Willyw

    Weekly US Dollar / Japanese Yen-USDJPY As of 06/05/16

    A white body has formed as prices closed higher than open.

    The previous 10 candlestick bars, there are 6 white candles versus 4 black candles with a net of 2 white candles.

    The previous 50 candlestick bars, there are 25 white candles versus 25 black candles.

    MACD is BEARISH as the MACD is below the signal line.

    The MACD crossed below the signal line 21 period(s) ago. Since the MACD crossed the MACD moving average, US Dollar / Japanese Yen's price has decreased11.47%, and has been fluctuating from a high of 123.538 to a low of 105.543.

    The MACD is currently not in an Overbought/Oversold range.

    There have been no divergence signals during the last 5 periods.

    The Stochastic Oscillator is currently below 20. This is an indication of the security being in an "oversold" condition.No Stochastic Buy or Sell signals generated today. The last signal was a Buy8 Period(s) Ago.

    The RSI is not currently in a topping (above 70) or bottoming (below 30) range. A buy or sell signal generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a Buy 3 period(s) ago.


    Currently the RSI does not show any Failure Swings. The RSI and price of US Dollar / Japanese Yen are not diverging.

    Currently, the Momentum Oscillator does not show an overbought or oversold condition.


    The last Directional Movement Indicators (DMI) signal was a SELL36 period(s) ago.

    There were no SAR signals generated today. The last SAR signal was a Sell17 period(s) ago.

    The close is currently

    BELOW its 200 weekly moving average

    BELOW its 50 weekly moving average

    BELOW its 20 weekly moving average

    The current market condition for US Dollar / Japanese Yen is Very Bearish

    US Dollar / Japanese Yen closed above the lower Bollinger Band by 10.6%. Bollinger Bands are 80.81% wider than normal.
     
  7. Handle123

    Handle123

    I am always amused when people use the term overbought, oversold levels. It like when Crude oil got down to $60 many said it was oversold and then eventually dropped another 34 bucks, wonder what they were calling it then? I think until something is hitting zero, no such word as being oversold....
     
  8. Willyw

    Willyw

    Euro Dollar / US Dollar-EURUSD As of 09/05/16

    *** Intra-Daily Trading Strategy:BUY Euro Dollar / US Dollar

    Buy Target: 1.1412

    Enter New BUY on OPEN and exit BUY positions at Target price or at Stop price.

    (NOTE: Adjust Stop Loss Price according to your trading risk.)

    Do not reverse after exiting. This is a recommendation for INTRA-DAY TRADING only!!!!!


    A white body has formed as prices closed higher than open.

    The previous 10 candlestick bars, there are 7 white candles versus 3 black candles with a net of 4 white candles.

    The previous 50 candlestick bars, there are 26 white candles versus 24 black candles with a net of 2 white candles.

    A long upper shadow has formed. This is typically a bearish signal (particularly when it occurs near a high price level, at resistance level, or when the security is overbought).MACD is BULLISH as the MACD is above the signal line.

    The MACD crossed above the signal line 6 day(s) ago. Since the MACD crossed the MACD moving average, Euro Dollar / US Dollar's price has decreased0.53%, and has been fluctuating from a high of 1.162 to a low of 1.136.

    The MACD is currently not in an Overbought/Oversold range.

    There have been no divergence signals during the last 5 periods.

    No Stochastic Buy or Sell signals generated today. The last signal was a Buy8 Day(s) Ago.

    The RSI is not currently in a topping (above 70) or bottoming (below 30) range. A buy or sell signal generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a Sell 61 day(s) ago.


    Currently the RSI does not show any Failure Swings. The RSI and price of Euro Dollar / US Dollar are not diverging.

    Currently, the Momentum Oscillator does not show an overbought or oversold condition.


    The last Directional Movement Indicators (DMI) signal was a SELL91 day(s) ago.

    There were no SAR signals generated today. The last SAR signal was a Buy6 day(s) Ago.

    The close is currently

    ABOVE its 200 daily moving average

    ABOVE its 50 daily moving average

    ABOVE its 20 daily moving average

    The current market condition for Euro Dollar / US Dollar is Very Bullish

    Euro Dollar / US Dollar closed below the upper Bollinger Band by 40.6%. Bollinger Bands are 24.47% narrower than normal. The current width of the Bollinger Bands (alone) does not suggest anything conclusive about the future volatility or movement of prices.
     
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  9. Willyw

    Willyw

    British Pound / US Dollar-GBPUSD As of 10/05/16

    *** Intra-Daily Trading Strategy:BUY British Pound / US Dollar

    Buy Target: 1.4487

    Enter New BUY on OPEN and exit BUY positions at Target price or at Stop price.

    (NOTE: Adjust Stop Loss Price according to your trading risk.)

    Do not reverse after exiting. This is a recommendation for INTRA-DAY TRADING only!!!!!


    A white body has formed as prices closed higher than open.

    The previous 10 candlestick bars, there are 3 white candles versus 7 black candles with a net of 4 black candles.

    The previous 50 candlestick bars, there are 24 white candles versus 25 black candles with a net of 1 black candles.

    A engulfing bullish line has formed where a white candle's real body completely contains the previous black candle's real body. The engulfing bullish pattern is bullish during a downtrend. It then signifies that the momentum may be shifting from the bears to the bulls.

    If the engulfing bullish pattern occurs during an uptrend (which is the case with British Pound / US Dollar), it may be a last engulfing top which indicates a top. The test to see if this is the case is if the next candle closes below the top of the current (white) candle's real body.MACD is BEARISH as the MACD is below the signal line.

    The MACD crossed below the signal line 2 day(s) ago. Since the MACD crossed the MACD moving average, British Pound / US Dollar's price has increased 0.18%, and has been fluctuating from a high of 1.454 to a low of 1.437.

    The MACD is currently not in an Overbought/Oversold range.

    There have been no divergence signals during the last 5 periods.

    No Stochastic Buy or Sell signals generated today. The last signal was a Sell 4 Day(s) Ago.

    The RSI is not currently in a topping (above 70) or bottoming (below 30) range. A buy or sell signal generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a Buy 51 day(s) ago.


    Currently the RSI does not show any Failure Swings. The RSI and price of British Pound / US Dollar are not diverging.

    Currently, the Momentum Oscillator does not show an overbought or oversold condition.

    The ADX is currently below both Plus and Minus Directional indicators. This should not use to initiate any trades right now.

    The Directional Movement Indicators (DMI) currently is not indicating a specific price direction. Because this is a trend following system, it should not use to initiate any trades right now. The last Directional Movement Indicators (DMI) signal was a BUY 38 day(s) ago.

    There were no SAR signals generated today. The last SAR signal was a Sell3 day(s) ago.

    The close is currently

    BELOW its 200 daily moving average

    ABOVE its 50 daily moving average

    ABOVE its 20 daily moving average

    The current market condition for British Pound / US Dollar is Mildly Bearish

    British Pound / US Dollar closed below the upper Bollinger Band by 46.7%. Bollinger Bands are 11.43% wider than normal. The current width of the Bollinger Bands (alone) does not suggest anything conclusive about the future volatility or movement of prices.
     
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  10. Willyw

    Willyw

    US Dollar / Japanese Yen-USDJPY As of 11/05/16

    *** Intra-Daily Trading Strategy:SELL US Dollar / Japanese Yen

    Sell Target: 108.0717

    Enter New SELL on OPEN and exit SELL positions at Target price or at Stop price.

    (NOTE: Adjust Stop Loss Price according to your trading risk.)

    Do not reverse after exiting. This is a recommendation for INTRA-DAY TRADING only!!!!!


    A black body has formed as prices closed lower than open.

    The previous 10 candlestick bars, there are 6 white candles versus 4 black candles with a net of 2 white candles.

    The previous 50 candlestick bars, there are 25 white candles versus 25 black candles.

    MACD is BULLISH as the MACD is above the signal line.

    The MACD crossed above the signal line 1 day(s) ago. Since the MACD crossed the MACD moving average, US Dollar / Japanese Yen's price has decreased0.77%, and has been fluctuating from a high of 109.366 to a low of 108.349.

    The MACD is currently not in an Overbought/Oversold range.

    There have been no divergence signals during the last 5 periods.

    No Stochastic Buy or Sell signals generated today. The last signal was a Sell 9 Day(s) Ago.

    The RSI is not currently in a topping (above 70) or bottoming (below 30) range. A buy or sell signal generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a Buy 21 day(s) ago.


    Currently the RSI does not show any Failure Swings. The RSI and price of US Dollar / Japanese Yen are not diverging.

    Currently, the Momentum Oscillator does not show an overbought or oversold condition.


    The last Directional Movement Indicators (DMI) signal was a SELL9 day(s) ago.

    There were no SAR signals generated today. The last SAR signal was a Sell9 day(s) ago.

    The close is currently

    BELOW its 200 daily moving average

    BELOW its 50 daily moving average

    BELOW its 20 daily moving average

    The current market condition for US Dollar / Japanese Yen is Very Bearish

    US Dollar / Japanese Yen closed above the lower Bollinger Band by 43.1%. Bollinger Bands are 52.19% wider than normal.
     
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    #10     May 12, 2016