http://www.forbes.com/sites/petercohan/2012/02/06/why-president-obama-will-beat-romney-in-november/ Why President Obama Will Beat Romney in November Itâs beginning to look like President Obama will be facing former Massachusetts governor, Mitt Romney, when the Oval Office goes up for a vote this November. And Obama has a good chance of winning another term. I am hardly an objective observer. After all, in 2007, I attended Obamaâs 47th birthday party and gave money to his first presidential campaign. And back in 1995, I worked with Romneyâs colleagues at Bain Capital â an experience I found professionally valuable. In short, I have no ax to grind against either of the two candidates. Nevertheless, I will give the odds of winning reelection to Obama. As I posted, there are five good reasons to re-elect him. Foreign policy. As Commander in Chief, Obama has done a masterful job. He took out Osama bin Laden; he helped spur the NATO coalition that stopped Moammar Gadhafi; and he ended the Iraq War. And his use of drones to strike terrorist targets in Pakistan is a particularly effective use of our technology and intelligence to take out our enemies with minimal risk to American troops. Stock market. In the three years since he took over as President, the stock market has rallied sharply. On January 20, 2009 the S&P 500 index was at 832. By February 3rd, it had recovered to 1,344 â a 17.3% compound annual growth rate (the second best in the last 65 years). Corporate profits. In 2010 and 2011, corporate profits hit record levels. Specifically, profits in 2010 were $1.66 trillion and as of August 2011, they were up 8.3% from 2010 â meaning that at that rate, 2011 profits totaled $1.8 trillion â setting a new all-time record as revenues grew 7%. Improving economy. When Obama took the oath of office, the U.S. economy was in economic free-fall. Itâs far from the pink of health â but with 3% growth in the fourth quarter and 853,000 jobs created in in 2011âs second half, it is getting better. And the January 2012 jobs report came in with a much-better-than-expected 243,000 jobs created. Courage. Obama with his low key, professorial demeanor is an exceptionally courageous person. The deeply held hate he must encounter on a daily basis is probably unprecedented for any U.S. president. And a February 6th poll published in the Washington Post indicates that most Americans think that Romney does not compare favorably to Obama. That poll concludes that 55% of those who are closely following the campaign say they disapprove of what the GOP candidates have been saying. By better than 2 to 1, Americans say âthe more they learn about Romney, the less they like him.â Even among Republicans, the numbers who donât like Romney equals the numbers who assess him positively. Meanwhile, Obamaâa recent State of the Union Address is getting better public feedback. Of the 60% of Americans who heard or read about his State of the Union address, â57% say they approve of most of what he laid out.â And as the election approaches, Obamaâs prospects are improving. According to the Post, Obama leads Romney â52 to 43% among all Americans and 51 to 45%, among registered voters.â And Obamaâs momentum is improving. Among all adults, this poll is Obamaâs first time polling over 50% in a direct comparison with Romney since July and itâs his first time ever above that point among registered voters. Of course the election is nine months away and that is an eternity in politics. If the economy continues to produce more jobs than expected and economic growth improves, that good news kicks away Romneyâs best argument for taking the Oval Office. Meanwhile, The New York Times reports that Obamaâs team is taking advantage of all the foot-in-mouth comments from Romney. These comments include his eagerness to fire people and his lack of concern for the poor even as Romney continues to pay a less than 14% tax rate on his millions in annual income. Despite his best efforts, Romney cannot shake the family history of making comments that hurt the Romney men politically. We still remember George Romneyâs comment that he had been âbrainwashedâ by generals on Americaâs success in Vietnam. As Massachusetts learned when Mr. Romney was governor, he is ot scary and can do good things while in office â not the least of which is the health care law he is now running away from. But Obama has taken the lousy hand left him by George W. Bush and played it remarkably well. For that, I think he deserves a second term â and if the economy continues to improve, he is likely to get it â particularly if he faces Romney.