When do we tank ?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by Trader.Fighter, Jan 18, 2014.

  1. SPX Long Term Channel

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  2. We don't tank, unless the conditions that created the chart change.
    The chart is extremely long time frame. The quantified dollar value price swings could easily wipe out most accounts on that time frame. Its easier to just go with the short term/intermediate term trend.

    Go where price takes you.
     
  3. eurojack

    eurojack

    Maybe you ought to put more indicators on there, it will give you an exact point when we tank.
     
  4. Never look for the tank.
    The fed should just keep pumping us up indefinitely in the long term.
    If you have doubts, wait for a dip and then buy.
    Short at your peril!!
     
  5. whenever FED tightens their monetary policy

    1. QE3 should end by early 2015 at the latest

    2. fed funds should be hiked to 2% by early 2015




    what we know about recent stock bubbles:

    nasdaq dot com bubble popped Q1 of 2000

    subprime bubble popped Q3 2007

    In both of these bubbles, the fed funds rate was hiked to >6% before they popped. We're at 0% fed funds right now.

    Volatility is low right now. Check out QQQQ, volatility in 2013 is the lowest since 2005.

    Also, the public isn't in the stock market right now. There is still uncertainty and not a lot of hubris, which is prevalent during the final phase of a bull cycle.

    2016 maybe, maybe not, wait and see
     
  6. NoDoji

    NoDoji

    Instead of tanking it could break out of the channel like it did in 1995.

    Party!!!!

    :D
     
  7. The channel back then had little volatility, was tight, much easier to break, this is a whole different animal.
     
  8. FXforex

    FXforex


    The "tank" comes first, then "the conditions that created the chart" comes after.


    Would you like to guess why I stated that?
     
  9. NoDoji

    NoDoji

    I know that, but you gotta think BIG, baby! DOW 40,000!!!
     
  10. ...........when there are no more threads like these on ET
     
    #10     Jan 18, 2014