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Trade or Long Term?

  1. I'm just wondering if it is more popular to trade ag futures or use them for seasonal and fundy plays on a longer term basis.

    My focus is on the type of stuff larry williams does, which, as simple as it is, seems to work amazingly well. I just feel like I have dumbed it down so much that I might be missing out on something, or I don't feel really accomplished.

    For me it's basically:
    Are comms / non comms at appropriate levels? check.
    Are comms / non comms positions reversing trend? check.
    Is seasonal low or high [relatively] close by? check.
    Does the recent price trend help confirm this? check.
    Punch in

    Or is this way too simple.

    The most recent trade I made doing this was the short on Live Cattle which is still in play