Since were officially in a bear market now, id like to hear what peoples guesses are for a bottom in terms of percentage and length. The average bear market causes a loss of 34% from peak to trough, and considering the above average shit storm thats been brewing in the credit and housing markets, I think the probability that we at least touch the 34% average is quite high. Anyone for 40%? 45, 50, 55+%? Post your best guesses and total length of this bear in months, with your reasoning. Ill guess 40% and 1.5 years, and I think thats optimistic.