Terrorist attack in Vienna

Discussion in 'Politics' started by gwb-trading, Nov 2, 2020.

  1. qaz

    qaz

    Macron's brave enough to speak up. Unfortunately France has chosen to take in countless migrants from North Africa. Their policies will turn them into the next muslim country.
     
    #21     Nov 3, 2020
  2. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    Most rational people are against terrorism and support taking a tough stance against it. These same people also support following the best public health practices when facing a novel pandemic. Sadly your post is evidence once again that you are not one of these rational people.
     
    #22     Nov 3, 2020
  3. I agree. GWB-Trading is a total fraud and a coward.
     
    #23     Nov 3, 2020
  4. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    #24     Nov 3, 2020
  5. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    #25     Nov 3, 2020
  6. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    The Senate race is still very close in N.C. --- I think Tillis might pull it off -- but the entire situation will still be close. It may go either way. I am not believing the polls that showed Cunningham rising after his affairs came out and keeping his bounce. His lead has dwindled down in the recent few days.

    It is interesting how a candidate's lead can become the highest after they admit to an extra-martial affair (sigh) -- but Tillis has been running ads from military members focusing on Cal's integrity over this affair (which appear to have hit home in our military state). With the theme of "how can you trust a candidate who has been screwing the wife of a fellow military member".

    I do not believe Trump will win North Carolina. There is huge enthusiasm for him in our rural counties -- but our suburban/urban voters will lean heavily Biden and overcome the rural areas in sheer numbers of votes.
     
    #26     Nov 3, 2020
    vanzandt likes this.
  7. Banjo

    Banjo

    #27     Nov 3, 2020
  8. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    Ok good.
    I have a theory on some of these close Senate races.

    I think many of the so called swing voters who voted for Trump last time, will probably go with Biden... but here's the thing... I don't think they'll vote the ticket. I think most will be scared of a clean sweep and the far left policies that may or may not be portended in the next few years.

    I wrote this yesterday as a prediction (to treefrog):

    -Collins wins. (your neck of the woods so you might beg to differ as you have unique insider yankee insights i guess)
    -Colorado is gonna seat Hickenlooper or whatever he's called.
    -McCally loses AZ.
    -Bama of course goes back to the Pubs.
    -Joni holds Iowa.
    -TT squeaks out the win in NC
    -SC keeps Lidsey
    -TX keeps Cornyn
     
    #28     Nov 3, 2020
  9. As I said a while back, Collins was somewhat on a track to lose but then Trump came out and said that she was a loser and would not campaign for her "because she was not worth the time." As to be expected, that has helped her considerably and brought things back to a 50/50 scenario.

    Also, as I said, this is Maine's (or any state's) first election using a "ranked ballot" system whereby the calculation goes to voters second choices if their first choice choice falls below a certain threshold (ie. the votes for third parties get re-assigned.) No one knows how that will go. I heard that it would work against Collins, now today I am hearing that ranked choice might help her. I don't know. I am out on the west coast and know susan very well but not her opponent nor the third parties on the ballot.

    In general, I think she has moved up a point since Trump disassociated himself with her, and 1 point is worth its weight in gold in that race. But it still would require the voter to vote a split ticket because Biden is going to take the state. Mainers are fiercely independent and have a long history of voting split tickets but you know- it's like Austin Texas now. It is hard to calibrate the New York and Californian impact. She will definitely win the northern two thirds of the state but the Portland area is sort of an extension of east coast seabord.

    As I have said before, Susan Collins is the last republican in either Congress or the Senate from New England. So the atmospherics are against her.

    If you put a gun to my head, I would say that she will win by half a point. Mostly because her hometown region in northern maine is going to vote for Trump and give him that one electoral vote so they will check off Susan Collins while they are voting too.
     
    Last edited: Nov 3, 2020
    #29     Nov 3, 2020
    vanzandt likes this.
  10. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    I agree with you. There are a number of people I have chatted with here --- who will vote for Biden but will also vote for Tillis. Many moderates don't really want to see a single party own both chambers of the legislature and the presidency ---- coupled with they can no longer stomach Trump (while they may still support many Republican policies historically).
     
    #30     Nov 3, 2020
    vanzandt likes this.