Ridin' with Biden

Discussion in 'Politics' started by Cuddles, Jul 27, 2020.

  1. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    Even better than head to head polls is approval rating polling when there is an incumbent president,its never been wrong and unlike head to head polling it picks the overall winner rather than the popular vote winner.Its 11 out of 11 since this article was posted while Trump was President,


    Can Trump break this six-decade U.S. election pattern?

    The pattern: If the president’s approval rating is “above water,” meaning more approvers than disapprovers, he wins a second term. If the president has a negative approval rating, he loses.

    How many of the laws of history can Donald Trump repeal?

    I don’t claim to know. And history doesn’t really have “laws” that can be enforced, just precedents and patterns formed by the accumulation of those precedents.

    One such pattern, which has held in every election that involved an incumbent president since the emergence of the political polling industry, is this: If the president’s approval rating is “above water,” meaning more approvers than disapprovers, he wins a second term. If the president has a negative approval rating, he loses.

    This has been true in 10 out of 10 instances in the era of modern polling, dating back to the 1950s, the era that includes the last 16 presidential elections — including the 10 that involved an incumbent president. In every one of those 10, as I just mentioned, if the president had more approvers than disapprovers, he was re-elected. If more disapprovers than approvers, he was defeated.
     
    #1521     Sep 25, 2023
  2. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    Biden has more disapprovers than approvers by around 15 points.No president with double digit disapprovers than approvers a year before the election has come back to have more approvers than disapprovers by election day.
     
    #1522     Sep 25, 2023
  3. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark

    #1523     Sep 25, 2023
  4. Bugenhagen

    Bugenhagen

    Ah OK, I have had earth-idiot on ignore for ages so not seeing his opening post and I got myself confuzzled with Cuddles also referencing it.

    Mind you the other day I got Mario Van Peebles and John Witherspoon (the late, last in Black Jesus) mixed up so I'm on the downhill slope.
     
    #1524     Sep 25, 2023
    Tony Stark likes this.
  5. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    :thumbsup:
     
    #1525     Sep 25, 2023



  6. He bought a gun but didn't buy a gun. Not only do windmills cause cancer but they also make the whales go goofy.

    Either he's mentally deteriorating at a faster pace or faking it to tank the election.


    4 more years !!!
     
    #1526     Sep 25, 2023
    Cuddles and Bugenhagen like this.
  7. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    Indeed.Thats why I posted it to show what a nut he is :D
     
    #1527     Sep 25, 2023
    Bugenhagen likes this.
  8. Cuddles

    Cuddles

     
    #1528     Sep 26, 2023
    Bugenhagen likes this.
  9. Bugenhagen

    Bugenhagen

    I've been saying this for nearly thirty years watching country after country lose it's fine manufacturing to China and only bulky things like roto-moulded plastics and bricks left. Globalisation made peace for a time but the balance needs adjusting to more than just heavy objects made domestically.

    The supply chain issues during Trump's plague woke many up.
     
    #1529     Sep 26, 2023



  10. [​IMG]


    The Whiteys are gonna be upset with this, less money for meth and fentanyl.

    Newsome 2028.
     
    #1530     Sep 26, 2023
    Bugenhagen likes this.