Princeton Election Consortium--Probability of Obama Re-election: 99.2% to 100.0%

Discussion in 'Politics & Religion' started by exGOPer, Nov 6, 2012.

  1. exGOPer

    exGOPer

    President: (mode) Obama 332, Romney 206 EV, (median) Obama 309, Romney 229 EV.

    Two-candidate popular vote: Obama 51.1%, Romney 48.9%.

    House: Democrats win 2-22 seats. D 205+/-10, R 230+/-10 seats, Republicans retain control.

    Senate: Democrats win 1-3 seats. D/I 55 +/1, R 45 +/- 1 seats, Democrats retain control. More on the Senate here.

    The poll-based median Senate outcome is 55 Democratic/Independent seats, 45 Republican seats. It is very focused: 85% of the probability is concentrated in the range of 54-56 D/I seats.

    http://election.princeton.edu/2012/11/06/senate-prediction-final-election-eve/
     
  2. Probability of Obama re-election: Random Drift 99.2%, Bayesian Prediction 100.0%

    100% LOL. Why not halt the election now.:p
     
  3. exGOPer

    exGOPer

    They don't get to stop it :D