I am starting a new thread for November 2010. My wave counts last month can be found from: http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=207352 For the past long term view, please see: EUR: http://www.trade2win.com/boards/forex-news-analysis/99186-euro-wave-count.html Gold: http://www.trade2win.com/boards/metals/98626-gold-wave-count.html SP: http://www.trade2win.com/boards/us-indices/99196-sp-wave-count.html Elliott Wave reference can be found from: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elliott_wave_principle My labeling for wave degrees in different time frames: Monthly â [[]], [[[II]]], [[[III]]], [[[IV]]], [[[V]]], [[[A]]], [[]], [[[C]]] Monthly â [], [[II]], [[III]], [[IV]], [[V]], [[A]], [], [[C]] Weekly â , [II], [III], [IV], [V], [A], , [C] Weekly â I, II, III, IV, V, A, B, C Daily â 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, a, b, c Daily â _1, _2, _3, _4, _5, _a, _b, _c Hourly â __1, __2, __3, __4, __5, __a, __b, __c
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11/03/2010 (Gold Update) Gold was at crossroad the past two days hesitating where to go next (see the daily chart for the preferred and alternative counts). It turned to south today, so the alternative count became the preferred one.
11/04/2010 (Gold Update) The low of 11/03/2010 was actually a wave-_e of the symmetrical triangle wave-d. The breaking out of a triangle should be explosive, and today gold market was like that. Now I assume that gold is in the progress of wave-e and is moving toward $1,440 final destination (see monthly wave count).
11/09/2010 (Gold Update) The high of 11/09/2010 formed the wave-_c of wave-e. Gold has been moving up in zig-zag format from 10/22's low with each fractal in abc pattern. It is possible that the bull will end after wave-C.e._e complete at around $1,440.
11/12/2010 (Gold Update) Has the wave-_e ended? Maybe and maybe not. If the wave-_e has completed on Thursday (11/11/2010), gold is into a long term bear market. However, it's more likely that gold has just completed the wave-_d (in abc mode). If so, wave-_e will bring gold a surge back to another all time high. In this scenario, $1,440 is the final target.