MSTR

I stated that vols would get decimated on rallies but you held anyway. Enjoy!

 

"I’ve started scaling back a bit"

sure you did. uh huh.

 

You think IBIT is going to return 60% year over year?

 

If you thought that $4 coupons were going to be the norm then that's on you.

 

You have a bad memory.

You were extrapolating the $2 indefinitely. It's all on you. You argued it would increase.

 

No, I didn't. I used the average to date in some calcs... Then I use the actual amounts when I got my spreadsheet going... And ran it through chat GPT.

 

Yeah, you did. It's in the MSTY thread. I've got eidetic memory and you have a TBI which precludes you from arriving at the sum of two numbers.

 

MSTR is a dog now. -6% vs -1.5% BTC?

 

You might be referring to a projection where I used previous dividend amounts corresponding with expected price to math out future coupons. Here are the results from the sheet if I omit the $4 outliers.

# Date Price Dividend
1 1-Jul-2025 $22.10 $1.54
2 1-Aug-2025 $21.30 $1.48
3 1-Sep-2025 $20.50 $1.42
4 1-Oct-2025 $19.70 $1.37
5 1-Nov-2025 $19.00 $1.32
6 1-Dec-2025 $18.30 $1.27
7 1-Jan-2026 $17.70 $1.23
8 1-Feb-2026 $17.10 $1.19
9 1-Mar-2026 $16.60 $1.15
10 1-Apr-2026 $16.20 $1.13
11 1-May-2026 $16.00 $1.11
12 1-Jun-2026 $16.00 $1.11
13 1-Jul-2026 $16.20 $1.13
14 1-Aug-2026 $16.60 $1.15
15 1-Sep-2026 $17.10 $1.19
16 1-Oct-2026 $17.70 $1.23
17 1-Nov-2026 $18.30 $1.27
18 1-Dec-2026 $19.00 $1.32
19 1-Jan-2027 $19.70 $1.37
20 1-Feb-2027 $20.50 $1.42
21 1-Mar-2027 $21.00 $1.46
22 1-Apr-2027 $21.34 $1.48
23 1-May-2027 $21.65 $1.50
24 1-Jun-2027 $21.88 $1.52