Journal 2017

Discussion in 'Journals' started by caacapital, Aug 15, 2017.

  1. $ES_F 8/15/17 I mainly follow price action/volume profile mixed with psychology

    $ES_F plan
    Hypo 1: was that we would test lower around 2461 ish fail test 2450ish hold and consolidate

    Hypo 2: test 2461ish hold test 2471ish hold consolidate

    Hypo 3: test 2471ish hold test 2475ish fail test 2470ish consolidate

    $M6E_F
    wait for lower level
     
  2. 8/17/17

    $ES_F plan
    Hypo 1: test 2457ish hold test 2463ish fail test higher
    Hypo 2: test 2463ish fail test 2457ish consolidate
    Hypo 3: test 2463ish fail test 2457ish fail test lower
    Hypo 4: test 2457 fail test 2450ish hold consolidate
     
  3. 8/18/17
    Economic Data
    10am Michigan Consumer Data
    10:15am FOMC speaker

    Consumer Data may be important?

    $ES_F plan
    Hypo 1: test 2432ish hold test 2415ish for a bounce to 2425ish hold test 2400 fail test 2385ish
    Hypo 2: test 2415ish fail test 2400ish fail test 2385ish hold consolidate
    Hypo 3: test 2415ish hold test 2425ish consoldiate
    Hypo 4: test 2415ish hold rally
     
  4. 8/21/17
    Economic Data
    none

    $ES_F plan
    key areas:
    POC:
    LVN:
    Consolidation zones:
    Hypo 1: test 2430 hold test 2420 fail test 2410 fail
    Hypo 2: test 2415 hold test 2420 hold test 2410 fail
    Hypo 3: test 2415 hold test 2420 fail test 2430 consolidate
     
  5. Bookmap levels 7:50am

     
  6. 8/21/17

    Economic Data
    nothing important

    $ES_F
    hypo 1: test 2424 test 2428 fail 2438 hold
    hypo 2: test 2421 fail 2415 hold test 2421 hold test 2400 hold
    hypo 3: test 2430 fail test 2438 hold consolidate
     
  7. 8/22/17
     
  8. 8/23/17

    Economic Data
    Housing Data 9am
    Manufacturing PMI 8:45 am
    Service PMI 8:45 am
    New Home Sales 10 am
    Crude inventory 10:30 am

    $ES_F
    Hypo 1: test 2446 hold test 2455 hold consolidate
    Hypo 2: test 2455 hold test 2453 test 2462 hold consolidate
    Hypo 3: test 2446 fail test 2438 hold consolidate
     
  9. I ended up taking (2) trades today (1) of them was early in the day my bias was long I missed my buy when my 2439 alert went off and was to shy to lift the offers once it went passed 2441. So of course I waited until a sell level to buy. the second trade was just a 2 tick trade I would have ended up losing the 3 ticks I typically risk. Another day where if I would have caught the buy would have gotten a nice return.


     
  10. 8/24/17

    Economic Data:
    Weekly jobless claims
    slight rise expected still very low unemployment
    prior | consensus | consensus range
    New Claims - Level 232 K 237 K 234 K to 240 K
    4-week Moving Average - Level 240.50 K
    New Claims - Change -12 K

    Existing Home Sales
    expecting to rise based on new signed contracts so should be within range basically using lead data
    Prior Consensus Consensus Range
    Existing Home Sales - Level - SAAR 5.520 M 5.565 M 5.410 M to 5.650 M
    Existing Home Sales - M/M Change -1.8 %
    Existing Home Sales - Yr/Yr Change 0.7 %


    $ES_F

    Hypo 1: test 2435 hold 2446 fail test 2455 consolidate
    Hypo 2: test 2435 hold consolidate
    Hypo 3: test 2435 fail test 2429 fail test 2425 hold consolidate
    Hypo 4: test 2435 fail test 2429 fail test 2419 fail crash
     
    #10     Aug 24, 2017