I did backtest my formula

Discussion in 'Trading' started by yinyang, Jul 26, 2021.

  1. yinyang

    yinyang

    I wonder how good it is
    S&P/Nasdaq/Gold/Euro futures combined
    RPS is name of my formula
    upload_2021-7-27_4-18-34.jpeg
     
    Last edited: Jul 26, 2021
    janbillian likes this.
  2. Overnight

    Overnight

    Now forward test it for a few years with real money, and get back to us.
     
    taojaxx, jys78 and SunTrader like this.
  3. wmwmw

    wmwmw

    trend2009 and jys78 like this.
  4. tayte

    tayte

    Congrats, now you know how to lose money like a real quant fund!
     
    CALLumbus likes this.
  5. Q.E.D.

    Q.E.D.

    Pure fantasy: Absolutely impossible to have any system with just 2% drawdown, or even 7%. Just a case of data-fitting. Trade it real-time for just a few months, and that will be made clear.
     
    yc47ib, taojaxx and smallfil like this.
  6. yinyang

    yinyang

    Thanks for comment. You're saying it is as good as fantasy? All I have to is forwardtest it with real money.
     
  7. Q.E.D.

    Q.E.D.

    Chance almost zero it will be profitable after 3-6 month real trading. Do you have much trading experience? The real trading world does not work that way: virtually no trader, in recorded history, has experienced only a 3% drawdown over any reasonable amount of time with decent sample of trades.
     
  8. d08

    d08

    You can size your trades ridiculously small and have a 3% max DD. So it's not possible but returns will be irrelevant as well.
     
  9. rb7

    rb7

    Anyone who think backtesting results has any meaning is a fool, or a newbie, or both.
     
    yc47ib and CALLumbus like this.
  10. Q.E.D.

    Q.E.D.

    One could have an acct for 10 years, without trading, and thus zero DD. But doubt that record would assist in raising money to manage.
     
    #10     Jul 27, 2021
    SunTrader likes this.