Global Warming Alarmism Continues To Backfire

Discussion in 'Politics & Religion' started by Trader666, Mar 17, 2011.

  1. Global Warming Alarmism Continues To Backfire
    Mar. 16 2011 - 1:20 pm

    A new Gallup poll is delivering bad news to global warming alarmists, showing Americans are becoming more and more skeptical of hysterical global warming claims. The alarmists are bemoaning these results and saying they need to be more forceful and creative in delivering their message of doom and gloom. But the global-warming religionists are losing credibility with the American public precisely because they are too forceful and creative in delivering speculative global warming claims, not because they are too conservative and demure.

    To be sure, the alarmists are on the retreat in the court of public opinion. The Gallup poll shows only 32% of Americans believe global warming will pose a serious threat in their lifetimes. Moreover, only 50% — the smallest number since Gallup began polling on the question in 2003 — believe increases in the earth’s temperature over the last century are due more to human activities than to natural causes.

    The Gallup poll should also give caution to alarmists who believe the answer to combating skepticism is to ramp up a more intense public relations offensive. According to the Gallup poll, a record number of Americans believe the seriousness of global warming is exaggerated. Fully 48% of Americans believe the media overstate the seriousness of global warming.

    The roots of the alarmists’ credibility problem go back at least to the 1970s. President Obama’s chief science advisor, John Holdren, claimed in 1971 that humans were causing a global cooling crisis. Holdren wrote, “the reduced transparency of the atmosphere to incoming light” due to human industrial and agricultural activities, “is said to be responsible for the present world cooling trend — a trend of about .2C in the world mean surface temperature over the past quarter century.”

    Stephen Schneider, one of the most media-prominent global warming alarmists until he passed away last year, wrote in 1971, “An increase by a factor of 4 in the equilibrium dust concentration in the global atmosphere, which cannot be ruled out as a possibility within the next century, could decrease the mean surface temperature by as much as 3.5 deg. K [Celsius]. If sustained over a period of several years, such a temperature decrease could be sufficient to trigger an ice age!”

    The same religionists who have led the charge regarding an asserted global warming crisis were the very same individuals who led the charge regarding an asserted global cooling crisis. And not only were the same people leading the charge, but they were naming the same alleged cause (human industrial activity) and the same alleged consequences (more drought, extreme weather, crop failures, etc.).

    Perhaps the alarmists’ errant prior claims of a global cooling crisis could be overlooked if their current global warming predictions were faring any better. But their global warming claims are failing just as spectacularly.

    NASA’s James Hansen, who thrust global warming into the media spotlight during the 1980s with high-profile Congressional testimony, predicted in 1986 that global temperatures would rise by one-half to 1 degree Fahrenheit (0.3 to 0.6 degrees Celsius) between 1990 and 2000, and another 2 to 4 degrees Fahrenheit (1.1 to 2.2 degrees Celsius) between 2000 and 2010. That’s 1.4 to 2.8 degrees Celsius warming predicted for 1990-2010.

    In the real world, global temperatures have risen merely 0.2 to 0.3 degrees Celsius since 1990.

    The alarmists have also lost credibility through their predictions of spectacular crises that have either failed to materialize or been refuted by overwhelming scientific evidence. The Gulf Stream has not shut down, hurricanes are not becoming more frequent, the North Pole is not ice-free, etc.

    If a stockbroker keeps advising people to buy stocks that subsequently drop sharply in value, people eventually stop listening to the stockbroker. Similarly, there are only so many times global warming alarmists can falsely cry “wolf!” before people stop reacting with alarm.

    Rather than step up the alarm, believers in a global warming crisis need to step up the realism.