Ewj: elliott wave

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by mu200411, Aug 13, 2007.

  1. Mup, I would never put this trade on before the Fed announcement... my sell stop would be a good 20 S&P points below the market when the Fed makes their announcement. As I write this reply the market is selling off on very heavy volume... short from 1514 on the March contract with a sell stop above todays high 1539. Lets see how it works out.
    Robert
     
    #1251     Dec 11, 2007
  2. The FED now admits to the "economy IS slowing" from previous language, yet they only cut the Discount Rate 1/4 of a point.

    These guys clearly have NO CLUE.
    And most troubling is the fact that most of the current Fed Governors have NEVER been thru a Recession before.

    Very few of these guys were around 5 years ago.

    They just don't get the SEVERITY of what is going on in the financial system.

    Unreal.
     
    #1252     Dec 11, 2007
  3. ....worked out perfectly....
    ...with the 3rd and 5th waves each having 3 parts
    ...posting chart later...

    ...edit.... now let's see about another 5 waves down on the daily chart..... possibly... or not :)
     
    #1253     Dec 11, 2007
  4. Status.
    Short position stop out and re-entered after Infrawave :v of Microwave .v of Subminuette v of Minuette 5)1.3:1 had been counted around 2:15 PM EST when there was a lower low. Short "Short position" closed at close. Long position entered. Set stop at the last low.
    Scenario 1.
    Minuette 5)1.3:1 and :2 had ended.
    End of 5)1.2=13237.8398, 1460.66, 2613.8301
    End of 5)1.3:1=13776.8604, 1523.5699, 2733.99
    Length=539.0206, 62.9099, 120.1599
    End of 5)1.3:2=13423.3398, 1475.99, 2650.3601
    Minuette 5)1.3:3 will be equal to :1 and end at
    End of 5)1.3:3=13962.3604, 1538.8999, 2770.52
    Strategy 1.
    Hold long position. Close long "Short position".
     
    #1254     Dec 11, 2007
  5. Scenario 2.
    Minute 4)c.2 had ended.
    All time high=14198.0996, 1576.09, 2861.51
    End of 4)c.1=12724.8203, 1406.23, 2539.8101
    Minute 4)c.1 length=1473.2793, 169.86, 321.6999
    End of 4)c.2=13776.8604, 1523.5699, 2733.99
    Minute 4)c.3 will be equal to Minute 4)c.1 and will end at
    End of 4)c.3=12303.5811, 1353.7099, 2412.2901
    Strategy 2.
    Hold long "Short position".
    Close long position after 1/3 to 1/2 retracement when there is a lower low. Open short "Short position". Set stop at the last high.
     
    #1255     Dec 11, 2007
  6. ...... 78.6% retrace of the falling wedge was the level to watch at 26......
    ... market made it to 27 ......
    .... waves 3 and 5 both had 3 parts.....

    .... dont' know what the next formation will be ...... but the downside target of this wedge has not been reached yet......
     
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    #1256     Dec 12, 2007
  7. Set target of the rebound at
    Subminuette 4)c.3:1ii =13556.0801, 1496.0699, 2688.22
    to enter short "Short position".
    Keep the long "Long position".
     
    #1257     Dec 12, 2007
  8. Chart for scenario 2.
     
    #1258     Dec 12, 2007
  9. Error.
     
    #1259     Dec 12, 2007
  10. Mup got the top this time at 1521.79. Bravo! :D
     
    #1260     Dec 12, 2007