Yes-- here is a situation where the short term chart provided numerous false reversals. As long as I keep those probes to small losses, I should be in the black as I increase size. Still plenty of time here for a full test of 1300.
Had I continued the system and shorted the 2 units size at 1307 , I would be looking here to take profit. As time, goes on I will have more conviction in staying with the probes.
I agree with fake reversals. Whenever S/R levels are taken out on strong volume, IMO, most reversals are not worth participating in (unless aiming for 1-2 points), until a definite trend is established and/or same levels are reverse broken on high volume. Neither happened today. All we had since S2 been taken out today on high volume is choppy trading, making it way too risky to participate in, at least for me. Have a nice weekend guyzzz EDIT: To me one of the main resistance levels @ 1309 has not been broken @ 2.30pm-3.00pm, to me that would have been a definite sign of a reversal about to happen.
I closed out the two short termers that I had short at 1305.50 . I closed them at 1303.75 at closing for a 3.5 pt gain. I will post the day's results soon
April 7,2006 Results 8 trades 4 winners 4 losers--9 units 12.5 pts profit= $625 total commission =$56.43 Net profit=$568.57
Journal to Date Results 58 trades 25 winners 33 losers 43.10% Total profit including commission $1697.90
Longer Term positional account status 7 units short 1287.75 1293.25 1296.50 1308.00 1308.50 1316.75 1316.75 Average price 1303.92
If you want to become really successful in intraday trading, you have to find a system that takes the big moves. Friday you had to go short and stay short till the close. As long as you cannot see these kind of trades in your system you have a problem. Friday was one of the easiest and biggest trades you could make. I had to go short at 1321 and stay in till 1303. These kind of trades unfortunately don't happen very often, but if you cannot see them your system is not good enough. This trade should have been visible, even with your eyes closed.