Election 2024 Foreplay

Discussion in 'Politics' started by TreeFrogTrader, Feb 1, 2023.

  1. UsualName

    UsualName

    To the extent it’s not so close to the results of the elections, yes, it has been a good signal. When the polling is this close, it’s historical error is much bigger comparatively.
     
    #4851     Apr 10, 2024
    Tony Stark likes this.
  2. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    #4852     Apr 10, 2024
  3. Mercor

    Mercor

    This is from the survey
    Democrats back Biden (95 - 2 percent), while Republicans (94 - 3 percent) and independents (49 - 41 percent) back Trump.

    They are one percent different from their own party but Trump is 8 pts ahead from independents......How can they be tied

    I think the sample group is skewed toward Democrats
     
    #4853     Apr 10, 2024
  4. UsualName

    UsualName

    Here we go again… lol
     
    #4854     Apr 10, 2024
  5. Mercor

    Mercor

    Did you do the math....Please show me how they got to a tie
     
    #4855     Apr 11, 2024
  6. #4856     Apr 11, 2024
  7. UsualName

    UsualName

    I took math in school. Specifically, I took statistics in college. I understand weighting of a sample population in a survey. What is subjective is the pollsters turnout models.

    What I will say is that many polls are showing some kooky findings under the hood. For example, some polls are showing an inversion of expected candidate support by age group.
     
    #4857     Apr 11, 2024
  8. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    Who cares? Get with the times. Math no longer matters.... our phones do it all for us.

    Now.... Had you nailed those transgender sociology courses sister---> you'd have been on your way to bigger and better things.
     
    #4858     Apr 11, 2024
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    #4859     Apr 12, 2024
  10. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    Yeah,Dems know RFK will severely fuck Biden :)
     
    #4860     Apr 12, 2024