Election 2024 Foreplay

Discussion in 'Politics' started by TreeFrogTrader, Feb 1, 2023.

  1. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    Betting markets April/May 2020

    upload_2024-4-9_21-13-41.png
     
    #4801     Apr 9, 2024
  2. poopy

    poopy

    And... you're FOS. "On PredictIt, another popular political betting site, Biden was trading at similar odds on Tuesday (63¢), while Trump traded at 39¢." Obviously the spreads resulted in >100.

    That was late July 2020 with Trump as incumbent.

    In Nov the spread was 57/43 in line with the electoral college win.
     
    #4802     Apr 9, 2024
  3. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    upload_2024-4-9_21-24-49.png
     
    #4803     Apr 9, 2024
  4. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark

    Betting markets April/May 2020





    [​IMG]
     
    #4804     Apr 9, 2024
  5. poopy

    poopy


    lol that's clearly Feb to May data. RIF.
     
    #4805     Apr 9, 2024
  6. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    upload_2024-4-9_21-27-59.png
     
    #4806     Apr 9, 2024
  7. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    And it is currently April thus I am comparing it to their predictions in April.

    In 2016 betting markets had Hillary around 85% on election day.
     
    #4807     Apr 9, 2024
  8. poopy

    poopy

    Cool story, Bro. IIRC the FBI Director had something to say. Vote for Trump or Kennedy.
     
    #4808     Apr 9, 2024
  9. poopy

    poopy

    PredictIt's betting was perfection in 2020.

    And they were at 81% in 2016 on the day before the election. Why don't you quote Dewey and Truman's odds?
     
    #4809     Apr 9, 2024
  10. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    In April 2020 they had Trump ahead
     
    #4810     Apr 9, 2024