I don’t know if “shifting to Biden” is the right take but reverting to the mean is probably more accurate. It’s the result of the primaries closing up early and Biden getting his campaign moving. There was a time when it was all GOP all of the time when the GOP with debating and campaigning. Too many people got too excited too quickly and a mania spread. We are in for a slog of a campaign. It’s kicking off early and there is an insane amount of money moving around. And it’s still going to be close.
As I have said before, be lucky to keep it out of the House if we have a third party getting at least double digits. Howz that lookin'?
Who knows. Biden is getting incredibly lucky with these abortion rulings right before the general. Talk about known unknowns dropping on the Trump campaign. We will see how which state ballots 3rd parties end upon.
Abortion is far from a top issue for most voters Abortion would only help Biden if voters thought he would do something about it.Most voters know not to believe a damn thing Biden says and are focusing on the local level for abortion rights
AZ could go the other way too in regard to abortion being the pivotal issue- OR NOT. For example, the dems are all salivating over having abortion as an issue there BUT the state legislature is in session right now. They might just crank out a bill and "fix" it. BOOM! So that lets the steam out of everyone's shorts on that issue, and the election is way off a bit and they have reverted to immigration or inflation or something. Or will the legislature not-solve the issue to save it for the election?