"Dow To Decline -80% In 2016"

Discussion in 'Wall St. News' started by Scataphagos, Jan 12, 2016.

  1. Wouldn't be so high and mighty if I were you. Lots of others are suggesting a 50-70% decline, including RBS. Just because this guy is hawking a video (like so many others) doesn't mean his forecast is wrong.

    http://www.newsmax.com/Finance/Stre...il_job=1650358_01132016&s=al&dkt_nbr=bgg7rvvb

    Standard Chartered is suggesting, "oil might go as low as $10". Lotta dislocations would be seen if so.

    I've posted these kinds of warnings so that those anxious to BTFD when the market is down -20% at least have in the back of their mind that the market might go MUCH lower this time and risk accordingly.

    Personally, I don't have a view whose call is correct. I'm just hoping to not lose too much when I decide to jump too early. (I'm also thinking we may not yet be in a bear market... calls to the contrary notwithstanding.... and I should be prepared to make my aggressive short play from higher highs.)
     
    Last edited: Jan 13, 2016
    #11     Jan 13, 2016
  2. Huge headline it looks like it's more about web-site promotion than a real information.
     
    #12     Jan 15, 2016
  3. Well, the August lows were penetrated today but closed well above that area. The action of the past few days suggests that we may be in for a sharp bounce.
     
    #13     Jan 15, 2016
    gkishot likes this.
  4. romik

    romik

    There will be WW3 before this takes place (-80%). Stop peddling fiction, economy is doing amazingly great, almost full employment, can't explain layoffs though and closures, that doesn't matter, because economy is doing great. Don't ask questions, just believe this - economy is doing great.
     
    #14     Jan 15, 2016
  5. Arnie

    Arnie

    Who wants to bet the Dow will be lower than it is now on 12/30/2016?
     
    #15     Jan 16, 2016
  6. What odds? I wouldn't be interested at 1:1.
     
    #16     Jan 16, 2016
  7. Exactly.
    Don't think about what the market will do, think about what YOU will do in reaction to the market.
    This rule brought me already much more money than trying to predict the market.

    In the 90's, before the Euro started I read an article on forex in a very respectable financial magazine: This year the USD/DEM will go through .... (don't remember the exact rate anymore)

    End of that year I compared the real rate with the predicted one. It was completely wrong. I remember that if I would divide 1 by the predicted rate is was closer to reality than the predicted one.
     
    #17     Jan 16, 2016
    fortydraws likes this.
  8. Sorry, I don't bet, I am a trader, not a gambler.
     
    #18     Jan 16, 2016
    fortydraws likes this.
  9. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    So the Dow is going to basically lose all the gains from the last 25 years, huh?
     
    #19     Jan 17, 2016
  10. gkishot

    gkishot

    I'll take the other side of the bet.
     
    #20     Jan 17, 2016