There is more than a year to go, trends look exactly the same as Obama's except Biden started much lower.
The trend since polling began is no president that was double digits underwater at this point has come back to net positive by election day.
Biden not only needs to win by 4-5 points because of The EC,which isnt going to happen in 2024.He also has to make up for the 4+points Dr West is going to get.
You are talking as if there is some long history of such polling. And no president had to face the previous incumbent he defeated either who is more unpopular.
So we should get ready to hand over Ukraine to Russia already then? Isn't that what you tankies want anyway.