Ill share with you guys a little secret about predicting long term tops and bottoms. It's quite stupidly simple. Just use divergence. A lot of traders exclusively trade off divergence setups because they are so reliable... What is a divergence? When price rallies really strongly for a cycle, then it rallies weakly for a cycle after a dip. For the divergence to be valid it must occur within a certain amount of time from the high momentum rally. I get a chuckle out of how a lot of big players who know their technical analysis didn't manage to get their short positions on in this recent selloff... Since the .com bubble burst... 10 out of 12 major market reversals were divergent and could be seen beforehand. Last years divergent bottom was one easy one to predict, however... Nobody expected it to go that far... The setup appeared more like the 2008 divergence setup off the yearly pivot test... Each major long term market turn... From the start of the rally to 2007, the selloff into 2009, and the rally out of 2009. They all occurred off a divergence setup after a HIGH momentum surge. Marks with yellow X's are the ONLY two events where there was a market turn without a divergence. The market is a video game, nothing else. Don't hate the game.