Can Real-time = Backtest? Let's see.

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Quantitative V, Jan 5, 2012.

  1. Here's to this journal's real-time results living up to even HALF of the backtest results.

    I'll be posting calls real-time on this thread (except for those first 2 trades that have already occurred) and keeping a tally of how it's working.

    This strategy trades the volatility ETN's (mostly just VXX and XIV). It trades just prior to the 4pm EST close (except for the first trade to start the year).

    For simplification, all trades will be based off of $100,000 starting equity. I'll also include (0.1% + $5 per trade) transaction costs.

    1/3/2012 Bought 5000 XIV @ $6.82
    1/4/2012 Bought 5000 XIV @ $7.01
     
  2. Summary of WEEK 1:

    Gain $ = $3,350-$10 = $3,340

    Gain % = $3,340 / $100,000 = 3.34%
     
  3. I think I'll start posting a daily P/L for this strategy on this thread starting with today - I might miss some days here and there, but anyone could easily look up the calls to see how they're doing. So, after a $3,340 weekly gain to start the 2012 last week...

    Monday, January 9............................... +$1,200
     
  4. Monday, January 9............ +$1,200
    Tuesday, January 10......... +$1,500
     
  5. Summary of WEEK 2:

    Monday, January 9................ +$1,200
    Tuesday, January 10............. +$1,500
    Wednesday, January 11......... -$1,300
    Thursday, January 12............ +$1,100
    Friday, January 13................. -$2,100

    Net for WEEK 2 = +$400

    YTD TOTAL GAIN $ = +$3,740

    YTD TOTAL GAIN % = +3.74%
     
  6. Close entire long XIV position today just before close.
     
  7. Buy 3000 XIV at market just before close today (i.e., a few minutes before 4pm).
     
  8. make that 4000, not 3000.