CAG

Discussion in 'Options' started by oldnemesis, Sep 27, 2016.

  1. https://www.thestreet.com/story/137...ck-price-target-reduced-at-deutsche-bank.html

    http://baseballnewssource.com/marke...-price-target-at-deutsche-bank-ag/112557.html

    http://reviewfortune.com/2016/09/26...-insiders-look-pessimistic-about-prospects-2/

    http://www.msn.com/en-us/money/stockdetails/financials/fi-126.1.CAG.NYS

    http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=CAG

    Earnings are Sept 29th before market open.

    Trade:
    With CAG at 43.04
    Jan '17 48/50 bear call spread for a net credit of $25
    Yield = 25/175 = 14.3% in 115 days or 45% annualized
    Prob = 80%
    Expectation = .8(25) - .13(175) - .07(87.5) = 20 - 22.75 - 6.12 = -8.9

    Price............. Profit / Loss........... ROM %
    32.00.................. 25.00................ 14.30%
    38.00.................. 25.00................ 14.30%
    44.00.................. 25.00................ 14.30%
    48.00.................. 25.00................ 14.30%
    48.25.................... 0.00.................. 0.00%
    50.00................ (175.00)............. -85.70%
    52.00................ (175.00)............. -85.70%
    55.00................ (175.00)............. -85.70%
    60.00................ (175.00)............. -85.70%
     
    Last edited: Sep 27, 2016
  2. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    Longer term downtrend continues on Con Agra. There is a pause and a bit of a bounce here, but should constitute nothing more than a bear rally. Look to be selling CAG on rallies going forth.
     
    Last edited: Sep 27, 2016