A trade on CL and Scaling in at every 10% Increase ........

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by md2324, Dec 15, 2016.

  1. md2324

    md2324

    Good Evening ,

    Can someone help me , with the Profits that would be gained , if the following Theoretical Example were to play Out

    EXAMPLE:

    We enter a Long on CL at the price of $37 ( Trading just 1 Contract )
    For Every 10% that CL increases in price,we will add 1 contract

    My Calculations for when to add 1 contract/The running total of Contracts at each ( 10% ) mark......
    1. at $40.70 we'd add 1 contract = 2 contracts we are now trading
    2. at $44.70 we'd add 1 contract = 3 contracts we are now trading
    3. at $49.17 we'd add 1 contract = 4 contracts we are now trading
    5. at $54.08 we'd add 1 contract = 5 contracts we are now trading
    6. at $59.48 we'd add 1 contract = 6 contracts we are now trading
    7. at $65.42 we'd add 1 contract = 7 contracts we are now trading
    8. at $71.96 we'd add 1 contract = 8 contracts we are now trading

    And then we'd just trade the 8 Contracts , from $71.96 to $77

    If this trade worked out this way to the " T " , and we scaled-In and added 1 contract per 10% increase in CL , what would the Total Profit be , once CL hit $77 ?

    Thank you for any and all help and input
     
    murray t turtle likes this.
  2. Overnight

    Overnight

    You will fail. Put this idea to bed and don't think about it any longer.
     
    eganon69, bone, aw25 and 1 other person like this.
  3. You Need Not Worry About The Profits, The First Thing You Look At Is The Loss, Me The Way I trade CL Is Know My Stop. Not Sure Your Method Will Work. Why Not Look At My Post At Sharp Shooting The CL, With TL re tracements Just Trying To Help.
     
    md2324 likes this.
  4. Do you autotrade those charts?
     
  5. no, Last Human Standing.
     
  6. algofy

    algofy

    This isn't hard to figure out assuming you aren't figuring in rollovers.
     
  7. xandman

    xandman

    A spreadsheet should make that easy for you.

    However, I have to tell you that idea is way out in fantasy land. Come back to earth. Check out Kelly sizing. The most aggressive method of doubling your money and avoiding risk of ruin. I have only heard of users doing half-Kelly.

    Even then, none of these schemes can work without a method with stable probabilities. Not high, but stable..predictable. This is where you should be devoting your energies.
     
  8. md2324

    md2324

    grizzlybull ,
    Can you please post the Link to your post ....... At Sharp Shooting The CL, With TL re tracements

    And Thank you both for your replies
     
  9. I Don't Know How, Iv'e Only Posted 2 Threads, Not Hard To Find.
     
    md2324 likes this.
  10. https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/cl-gc-es-using-trend-line-retracements.305170/
     
    #10     Dec 15, 2016
    md2324 likes this.