17 years 9 months - no global warming.

Discussion in 'Politics' started by jem, Jun 4, 2014.

  1. jem

    jem

    in a few weeks we can say no one in high school has experienced Global warming.

    [​IMG]

    1. Remember fc the now failed models were not speaking of ocean temps.

    2. An el nino may be in the works... so this pause is likely to end.

    http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/06/...al-warming-for-17-years-9-months/#more-110805

    ...
    On the RSS satellite data, there has been no statistically-significant global warming for more than 26 years. None of the models predicted that, in effect, there would be no global warming for a quarter of a century.

    New attempts to explain away the severe and growing discrepancy between prediction and reality emerge almost every day. Far too few of the scientists behind the climate scare have yet been willing to admit the obvious explanation – that the models have been programmed to predict far more warming than is now likely.

    The long Pause may well come to an end by this winter. An el Niño event has begun. The usual suspects have said it will be a record-breaker, but, as yet, there is too little information to say how much temporary warming it will cause. The temperature spikes caused by the el Niños of 1998, 2007, and 2010 are clearly visible in Figs. 1-3.

    El Niños occur about every three or four years, though no one is entirely sure what triggers them. They cause a temporary spike in temperature, often followed by a sharp drop during the la Niña phase, as can be seen in 1999, 2008, and 2011-2012, where there was a “double-dip” la Niña.

    The ratio of el Niños to la Niñas tends to fall during the 30-year negative or cooling phases of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, the latest of which began in late 2001. So, though the Pause may pause for a few months at the turn of the year, it may well resume late in 2015.

    Either way, it is ever clearer that global warming has not been happening at anything like the rate predicted by the climate models, and is not at all likely to occur even at the much-reduced rate now predicted. There could be as little as 1 Cº global warming this century, not the 3-4 Cº predicted by the IPCC.
     
  2. fhl

    fhl

    The only way people older than high school experienced it was by manipulating the data to show warming when there wasn't any.

    The scammers thought they'd have their agenda in operation by gov'ts long before the scam of data manipulation ever came out.

    Why be surprised there has been no global warming for eighteen years when the global warming before that was never there? It was phony gerry-rigged data.
     
  3. Max E.

    Max E.

    What about the ones like Spike Trader who are on the 26 year high school plan?

     
  4. Ricter

    Ricter

    "2. An el nino may be in the works... so this pause is likely to end."

    Have there been no El Ninos in the past 17 years?
     
  5. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    and yet the Global Warming Alarmists continue pushing their fantasy.
     
  6. jem

    jem

    was that easier than hitting the little search symbol?



     
  7. Ricter

    Ricter

    It was rhetorical and you know it. There have indeed been El Ninos in the past 17 years. So what's the logic behind saying the next El Nino will likely end the pause?
     
  8. Max E.

    Max E.

    I am guessing that He was talking about the pause in the chart from the last 2 years where it has flatlined relative to the rest of the chart.
     
  9. jem

    jem

    I will give you my feel from years of looking at at charts.
    That chart shows -.02 trend. over 17 years. I suspect a big warming spike for year or two could take the chart into a a slight warming trend outside of the margin for error.
    But that the la nina after that could take it back.

    It would all be a matter of degrees... pun intended.
    ---

    http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/06/...al-warming-for-17-years-9-months/#more-110805

    New attempts to explain away the severe and growing discrepancy between prediction and reality emerge almost every day. Far too few of the scientists behind the climate scare have yet been willing to admit the obvious explanation – that the models have been programmed to predict far more warming than is now likely.

    The long Pause may well come to an end by this winter. An el Niño event has begun. The usual suspects have said it will be a record-breaker, but, as yet, there is too little information to say how much temporary warming it will cause. The temperature spikes caused by the el Niños of 1998, 2007, and 2010 are clearly visible in Figs. 1-3.

    El Niños occur about every three or four years, though no one is entirely sure what triggers them. They cause a temporary spike in temperature, often followed by a sharp drop during the la Niña phase, as can be seen in 1999, 2008, and 2011-2012, where there was a “double-dip” la Niña.

    The ratio of el Niños to la Niñas tends to fall during the 30-year negative or cooling phases of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, the latest of which began in late 2001. So, though the Pause may pause for a few months at the turn of the year, it may well resume late in 2015.

    Either way, it is ever clearer that global warming has not been happening at anything like the rate predicted by the climate models, and is not at all likely to occur even at the much-reduced rate now predicted. There could be as little as 1 Cº global warming this century, not the 3-4 Cº predicted by the IPCC.
     
  10. Max E.

    Max E.

    [​IMG]
     
    #10     Jun 4, 2014