Tango, Good Morning! I am in agreement on the risk side. It seems to me that you're already using plenty of leverage & doing well. You started with 15k & 2 contracts, & will now be up to 30k & 6 contracts. Therefore only have doubled your account size while tripling your position size. This IMHO will invite disaster sooner or later. Correct me if I'm mistaken, it seems you're shooting for 3 tick moves or better, while using a 3 tick stop initially & getting out quicker if it doesn't appear to be working. Having a 30k acct. trading just 5 x 31.25 x 3 = 468.75 w/o comms., thereby giving you exposure of 1.56% of capital. When the trade goes your way as you seem to have a high win %, your goal is met or exceeded just with 5. You could have an account of 40k-45k & still be doing goal. The downside is @ 5 or even 6 x 31.25 x 3 = 562.5 w/o comms., the risk is now 1.56-1.875%. The reason I mention the risk % is it's getting beyond what I've learned for trading leveraged instruments, which is .25-1% of trading capital per trading position. Then the only way to meet this criteria on a 1:1 ratio or close is to reduce position size & widen stops, or increase size & tighten stops. It's apparent the 3 ticks you're using with your ability is working well thus far. It'll be even KEWLER to see you succeed. By taking it 1 day, 1 week, 1 month @ a time, just as you've been doing! You're off to an excellent start! Why increase the risk that much, & the risk of having your progress derailed when that outlier pops up? It's not a matter of if but when? This is all just food for thought. Again I've enjoyed this VERY MUCH thus far! Take Care & God Bless! Kelly
^14-13 area. The break from this area up again would have been an area where I would have added back to the intial position.
great trading tango. do you use any news feed for the 8:30 trades or is it strictly based upon price action???? thanks
726, and Unless I listen to voices of reason that have posted here, I will be going to 6 contracts on Monday. I understand the idea behind % based risk, but I also am looking at catastrophic risk as this is an experiment and is definitely risk money. At 6 contracts a full point move on bonds is worth $6000. At this point it would be a 5 pt move against to wipe out this account , or force me to cover from other money. Insane outlook, YES, but I am going with it. As of now the next contract doesn't add until account hits $46,000, so I have a ways to go for the next add. In looking at this and my normal trading I am still ahead, but obviously working all day to do so, and sometimes spend most of the day giving back what I made. At this point this has worked best with bonds, but I would like to use other markets and maybe expand the goal that way. Trade a little longer, but not all day, unless it is necessary, and hit a bigger goal.
Cnbc on usually, but otherwise mostly based on price action, but I have the news reports and times written down so I know to expect a move possibly.
uptrend overnight, but real tight range, so willing to go either way at this point. nevermind..sold 112 ^10 as typing on break of ^11