Got a short-term bear signal and decided to exit my BTC longs on Thursday. The action around the old ATH was disappointing; I was looking for an...
Nothing will “topple” bitcoin. It’ll just run out of convincing bull catalysts/narratives to draw incremental new money, the one-time...
Ags are boom-bust markets. Bad weather or supply upheaval will eventually pass, acreage will explode for the coming season(s) as farmers rush to...
The "Tiktok ban" is just a trojan horse to give the government even more powers of surveillance and control. I think China is a dire threat, but...
Only a fool would short BTC at this time, at least for all but the most ultra short-term tactical play. Fundamental reallocation ETF flows will...
Almost nobody really believed or accepted that interest rates would stay high (and meaningfully positive in real terms) for more than a brief...
Speaking as a longtime skeptic, at this point Tether is a non-issue. The serial con-men and fraudsters who created it gambled everything and won...
8 months more or less correlates with the recent epic surge in equities. To be ultra-cautious I'd wait for two full years of consistent...
May as well be saying you miss the time before smartphones or when everyone used to go to church... them days is gone. Sounds like you need to...
Reverse into what? A 2-4 week dip, maybe. Something more substantial (if you ever want to see below about SPX 4800 again) will need a...
Everything in the world is subject to supply and demand. It’s 100% certain that at some point - once the incremental demand unleashed by the ETFs...
90 strategies? As an initial observation, this feels like you're over-fitting - which is to say you have 40 or 50 strategies which are...
This approach is flawed and you're doing it wrong. In practice you are swing trading on momentum, but buying "cheap" stocks and hoping for them to...
The market feels ultra strong. I’ve been highly skeptical of the crypto-bro quasi religious cult narrative about God-candles and the like, but you...
That’s universal consensus but there are increasingly strong reasons to be skeptical. The market has shrugged it all off, though.
The current pump easily rivals 2020 and may have exceeded it, thereby making it the most epic ever. All the more impressive since back then CBs...
Obviously the “maximum” drawdown is a guideline for sizing and not an actual physical limit. I’m not sure how you would rationally size trades if...
That’s a hard question as it depends on both the strategies and the nature of your mandate. Trading my own funds, I always play things far more...
At the end of the day, there are no easy tricks or mental gymnastics which will help. You either sack up, stop being a pussy, and do the job...
Close friend is a senior engineer at a Mag7 company. He says that nobody he knows there is using AI coding assistants.
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