in my opinion, the question mark to market vs mark to model is important when market and or model is "incorrect". in a orderly market, with valid...
i can see that as a reversion to the mean applied to a trading system/ equity curve. But my point is that there could be valuable information...
interesting idea. hadnt thought about this before. if you have an as yet unknown deficiency in your trading method that makes it weak under...
interesting response. we may be getting somewhere with this. If you are able to quantify and mathematically represent the recurring patterns...
Surf, Are you saying 1. TA techniques are not testable 2. When tested, TA techniques have no validity. These are two entirely different...
not sure whether this is what you need. Try this Insert three columns between G and H in your sheet (i.e. before the P&L Column) Add these...
I think whatever you do, you should wear a shirt, otherwise it may send wrong signals ps. in general i dont like to post a reply that does...
great call
If you add an element of symmetry to your comparison, 2000 had a dribble down move after an explosive up move, while this seems like the start of...
statistically there is some backup for your reversal call, but i think V bottoms typically mark an end of a downtrend, not at the top of an uptrend
i do not see any supporting reasoning in this thread on why this view about randomness of trading methods is any superior than the views of others...
point taken. good luck with your venture. not an excuse, but the way you started the thread and came back to it with a commercial solicitation...
i guess this means, trading is neither art nor science, but business?
if you believe some patterns (or market conditions) are more bullish (or bearish) than others scaling in and scaling out follows
Based on this observation, you have two potential inferences(amongst many) - The coin may not be fair, and hence there is more than 50% chance...
isnt the car sales data a bit misleading because of the employee pricing sometime back? overall i agree with the low growth/ recession...
will nasdaq respond with allowing "delaying programs" that will collect all incoming orders, determine whether to front-run and then pass the...
their CFO is presenting tomorrow at the Merrill conference. i guess some people bought the rumor, or some people already know the news(if any)
Here is essentially what my disagreement is about. IMO, position sizing need not be determined ony by personal risk profiles (2% etc.) it could...
but have you considered slippage and transaction cost? :) couldnt resist
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