This is the "actively managed" portion of my portfolio. The rest is in passive lower "risk" assets.
Ugh, as I mentioned earlier, I have a lot of experience trading (6 years). I understand that psychology is more important than all else. That's a...
What objective method would you choose to identify volatility? Beta, ATR, ect ...? What time frame? Or would you use something more general like VIX?
Thanks for the reply. The problem with this is that it's taken me a long time to build an indicator that was this "accurate" for my mid-long term...
While I very much appreciate you taking the time to respond, I don't think you read my initial post. I've been trading/investing for years. In my...
It would be interesting to see what would happen if I flipped the system and used terrible companies during downtrends.
I'm not saying I'll hold no matter what. I'm saying that each red line is a sell signal, that correlates with overbought and a break in uptrend....
Thanks again guys for your input :) @eganon69: I will not use trendlines as I said before this needs to be 100% objective. Zero decisions made...
The profit taking signals occur when a stock is both overbought and breaking a shorter term uptrend. So the odds of getting a profit-taking signal...
Thank you Eganon for the thoughtful reply. To clarify a few things: 1) My goal is to completely remove discretion. The entires/exits shown...
How do you figure?
The last 3 charts cover the 2008 fall. You'll see that in each those cases several profit taking signals were triggered before the fall. Meaning,...
To make it easier: Green lines = $60,000 entry Red lines = $15,000 profit taking (remaining position is still being held) Generally speaking
Long time lurker, first time poster. Goal: 15% or greater per year (averaged over 5 years). Account Size: Approximately $900,000 (taxable acct)...
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