Thanks for the idea of a laddered trade. I never considered doing that. I dont think i am ready to tie that much capital in at once and it hasnt...
I think they are about 70% correlated to USO. I have two technical possibilities here: 1) Oil goes down to $24 area. 2) Oil goes down to $10...
XEG is a Canadian ETF for energy sector. It currently pays a dividend. Some of its heavy hitter allocations are SU @24% CNQ @18% CVE @ 8% =50%...
Well yeah, but isnt the higher % of success what we are aiming for? The pay off is a decent % too. But this IC, its not 1 dte?
Those arent good odds. So if you flip it, You have 83% chance of a profit zone then.
Thanks for the response. How do you figure there there's a 50-50? are you just basing that off of the 2:1 Reward to risk? So a 50% chance that...
Other than slippage, are there any other reasons? I guess IV /IV rank would effect whether you do a credit/debit spread with the same pay out, but...
No it is covered. But I think i picked a bad example. The difference between a short butterfly, shortput butterfly, reverse iron butterfly, etc.
I havent been able to find any information on whether different strategies with the same risk profiles i.e same PnL graphs differ in success rate....
Haven't posted in a while, what are your thoughts on the following trade? I placed this trade today as a gamble. Didn't really expect much...
Yeah no worries. The zooming I didnt like just because your losses are capped or either unlimited, so to me it doesnt make sense to be able to...
Yes I've used it. I found problems with the following. Don't take this offensively, just giving you some insight into what I found not user...
With the upcoming netflix earnings oct 14, I'm thinking, IF you can execute the following, it would have a high probability of success. pretty...
see i knew you cared! all those arguments in the other thread. all are forgiven. You're like a pineapple. hard,rough, prickly on the outside....
can you explain what a passive index holding is? thanks.
Let's assume you have a large enough portfolio, that you could sell 10-15 cash secured puts of an underlying that is around $40-50, where this...
thanks for the trade idea.
no... we agreed that the risk is being assigned and that over the weekend a large move can happen, resulting in a loss.
can you show me?
how are you picking youe strikes, underlyings etc. Or is youe goal to have them on all at the same time and close them as each reaches profit,...
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