For a warning/catalyst, one option is to set an alert on the Tether price: if it starts to fall significantly below 1:1 with the fiat cross, that...
A couple of other points I forgot to mention: Bitfinex hired lawyers to go after critics. This is a classic move of a questionable company, as any...
Full disclosure: as of now I own no cryptocurrencies or equivalent assets (GBTC, RIOT etc) of any kind.
Main reasons: 1. Tether looks like a classic Ponzi/scam:...
The devil is in the detail though. First, you have to determine the market state. But you also have to assess the likelihood of this state...
No it doesn't. Examples of where value is irrelevant - if your fund is hit by full redemptions, you have to sell regardless of value. If you are...
Often they don't. Someone can buy a stock they perceived to be overvalued (or sell an undervalued stock), for all kinds of reasons - they think...
Is there any evidence of causation from a profitable pundit saying we are in a really good market, and subsequent market returns? I am sceptical,...
Wrong - it is supply and demand which sets stock prices. Perception influences that, but so does objective reality - especially since objective...
"Perception is reality" is clearly an incorrect statement. This can be proven simply by finding one or more instances where perception differs...
Good call there though - I must admit, I'm surprised how robustly the market handled that news. Any time it does the complete opposite of what you...
I meant on the day they resumed trading after the 4 days of market closure. On 9/11 itself the stock market didn't open.
If your target is 62 then you are not betting on a resumption of the bull market, you are betting on a small 22 point move back to the highs. I.e....
The thread is not about what the west wants to do. It is about what Putin would do IF the west raised the stakes. The answer is that he would...
No they wouldn't, because destroying them would be an aggressive act of war and guarantee reprisal attacks on Russia itself. They cannot be...
I agree but that was not the subject of my thread - which was rather how much Putin would be willing to risk, if faced with a significant raising...
No it isn't. Saddam was a dictator who mass murdered his own people, and had invaded, without any just cause, two neighbouring countries in the...
The thing I dislike about that play is if we see new highs, then just get long again. You miss 20 points. Whereas if a selloff develops - and...
NATO massed its forces on the eastern border of Poland and Romania, put several carrier battlegroups and submarines in the Black Sea, and then got...
We just had a 130 point rally with almost no pullbacks, and now a potential military conflict has started, we are at the most geopolitically risky...
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