More musing from my reading. In my first post I made an assumption that all edges that can be constructed from publicly available data are being...
Yes, but there are even more high level thinkers that are really poor poker players. Actually poker is not a very good model for the market...
I think it is more a case of horses for courses. The market may displays no features of model 2 at all. If this is true then smart people...
No argument, just lots of interesting discussion :) Yes it is an assumption that all exploitable edges that can be constructed from publicly...
Some further thoughts. I like to make models of systems to gain an understanding. Doing this it is possible make two simple models of the market....
Thanks for the advice. Even more for me to think about :)
It is possible that I am overthinking, but it is hard to do much about this as this is my nature. There is about as much point telling a smart...
My understanding on options is they are equivalent to a leveraged long or short position with a guaranteed stop loss position. Apart from being...
I am considering everything at the moment :)
Ouch! I only lost a bit of money from my stupidity (about a 1/4 of my play capital) - my natural caution saved me from making too big a mistake....
Thanks for the heads up on the thread - I guess I have a bit of reading ahead of me :) I case anyone else is interested here in the link to that...
I wasn't suggesting that the approach that I have taken to date is the best, in fact the more I have learnt the more I think it is poor, hence my...
I am not a value investor (only an involuntary one via my pension). My experience has been that I can "see" the future price direction of some...
I think I have a good idea of what the posters here will tell me :)
I have gone back to tried to work out why I lost money (one of the reasons I ended up here). The reasons were fairly obvious in hindsight -...
The base player is providing the signal. If the drummer starts following the lead guitar then things won't sound too good.
I am amazed at the level of anti-intellectualism displayed here - have a look at the really successful traders - are they intelligent, or they...
I do think a lot, but that is my nature :) I am very likely to be wrong (almost certain), but I am most interested in knowing why I am wrong....
If the majority of traders in a stock were insiders then any information that could cause a price shock would be reflected as soon as the insiders...
Since some people seem to have found my post entertaining I will continue :) I have been thinking more about the trading strategies that are...
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