I believe this could be real, since I experienced something similar during 08-09. Wabu, 7 years ago I had $210K in debt and no assets after...
Alternative explanation: The higher the US domestic production, the lower the WTI price (i.e., you reversed causality in the title).
The FOMC certainly lifted crude on Wednesday (3/18), but the front month outperformance actually happened on Thursday and Friday. Here are the...
I noticed April crude futures (CLJ5) sharply outperformed May (CLK5) and June (CLM5) futures the past few days, coinciding with the upcoming...
Yeah, have noticed the recent dollar outperformance. These positions were chosen after the dollar rally. US stocks are expensive relative to the...
I'm expecting the dollar rally will fizzle in 2015. Here is my allocation as we near the end of 2014. Hope not to suffer too much abuse in the...
He's saying it's 30 years between peaks, e.g., a peak in the early 80s followed by a peak in 2012, with a valley in between.
How about looking at trading jobs in a corporate (non-banking) role, like at a mining or energy company? They hire traders for hedging purposes...
DoubleT, this is a very interesting thread, I just read the whole thing. I now find myself in a similar situation as you were two years ago (a few...
This is part of the reason for dividing assets roughly evenly between cash reserve (30%), trading account (30%), and retirement portfolio (40%)....
For me, this is a very timely question. I've recently left a high-paying job in my early 30s and will trade as my only source of income. If I...
In your case, I recommend learning how to invest, not trade, at www.bogleheads.org. If you have $1mn, you should realistically be able to come up...
A PhD involves discovering something new and being skeptical. A master's involves learning in a classroom. Therefore, a PhD is better suited for...
+1 BTW, who starts looking for an investment banking job after graduation? Maybe it's different in Mexico than the US.
Sounds like a free option for the person you sold to.
You can exclude earned income, but not passive income from trading. I suppose you could characterize your trading as earned income from a small...
What you call a holy grail should be considered a necessity for putting on any trade. Only after you have this do things like risk management and...
I don't see any evidence that you have an edge here. I suggest going back to Bogleheads before wasting any more time and money on this endeavor....
These problems are equivalent. A few posts earlier, I showed how max E[log(W(N)/W(0)] is the same problem as max E[log(W(N)]. Here I'll show...
If you do, please let me know how you do it. I've actually never used a computer to solve one of these problems, so have been limited to textbook...
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