I'll be the first to admit the results so far have been pretty bad. Before starting this thread the results were outstanding, so hopefully it gets...
I've been making several improvements over the last week and will start using a new version in a few days. The new version uses the same "system"...
Thursdays Prediction: 3.82 -Result- Open: 765.76 Close: 752.83 Change: -12.93 Prediction: Wrong Note: N/A Paper Trade (one ES...
Wednesdays Prediction: -2.46 -Result- Open: 770.64 Close: 764.90 Change: -5.74 Prediction: Right Note: N/A Paper Trade (one ES...
Tuesdays Prediction: 4.87 -Result- Open: 744.69 Close: 773.14 Change: +28.45 Prediction: Right Note: N/A Paper Trade (one ES...
Mondays Prediction: 3.17 -Result- Open: 773.25 Close: 743.33 Change: -29.92 Prediction: Wrong Note: N/A Paper Trade (one ES...
Someone else mentioned that site to me when I first started this thread. Bookmarked it but never took time to check it out. I am signing up there...
Fridays Prediction: 4.63 -Result- Open: 775.87 Close: 770.05 Change: -5.82 Prediction: Wrong Note: Due to the difference between the...
Thursdays Prediction: 4.01 -Result- Open: 787.91 Close: 778.94 Change: -8.97 Prediction: Wrong Note: I am working on reprogramming the...
You are right, backtesting the system would not be very hard. However, I don't put any weight in back testing because it is very easy to create a...
Wednesdays Prediction: 5.48 -Result- Open: 791.06 Close: 788.42 Change: -2.64 Prediction: Wrong Note: N/A Paper Trade (one ES...
I am going by the published quotes for the S&P500 because that is what is actually predicted by my system. I just think the best way to trade...
Recalculated Historical Accuracy of Signals: Overall Accuracy (all signals included) = 60% Greater than 0.5 and less than -0.5 = 62.5%...
Tuesdays Prediction: 3.28 -Result- Open: 818.61 Close: 789.17 Change: -29.44 Prediction: Wrong Note: N/A Paper Trade (one ES...
Fridays Prediction: -0.75 -Result- Open: 833.95 Close: 826.84 Change: -7.11 Prediction: Right Note: This signal was not traded because...
You are right... The last two days have shown that it may be possible to exploit the sideways signals. That's something I had never thought of....
Interesting idea... I marked it wrong simply because I don't want to look like I'm making exceptions or doctoring the results. Based on the rules...
Thursdays Prediction: -0.03 -Result- Open: 829.91 Close: 835.19 Change: +5.28 Prediction: Wrong Note: Wrong, but not traded since it...
I have noticed that problem as well. In the past I have tried to limit risk while paper trading by using stop orders. This almost always resulted...
Wednesdays Prediction: 6.08 -Result- Open: 827.41 Close: 833.74 Change: +6.33 Prediction: Right Note: I will try to simplify the...
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