Searched around quite a bit but can't find a direct answer so sorry if this has been dealt with already. In the past I've spread investments...
I will search for that thread and get an education on this. I've searched a lot for that sort of analysis but had difficulty finding anything...
Totally agree with the assessment that the market could trade down 50% and then trade sideways for 15+ years. Martingale implies increasing bets...
So there are and have been "lots" of occasions where the broad US markets have not recovered at least half of a 50% drawdown.. I need to find...
Can you find a period of time in history where this would have failed to make money long-term?
Thanks for the response, but doesn't a martingale demand exponential growth of your bets? I'm not necessarily talking about that, just averaging...
I am aware that our markets have not yet recovered their highs from a few years ago. Other markets like Japan's haven't recovered from the 80's....
I'm noticing 2 exciting things: 1) how little money he's losing by overtrading 2) how little time he has to spend in front of his screen...
Or I guess you can combine all of them and have a whole slew of potential fib buy levels.
I appreciate this method because IMO it's trading the only edge that the everyday non technical/genius/mathematician/HFT/algorithmic trader can...
Thanks for the response. The reason I ask is because I've found myself using hedges similarly because of the same psychological reasons you...
Since SH is just a short S&P fund, isn't buying shares of it equivalent to selling off some of your SPY position?
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