Short HO G/H/J butterfly @ -0.0035.
- Little kink on the deseasonalized curve
- "Big" volume at the top on 09-14.
Out @ 0.008. Small loser. We are too close to expiry now.
I have an excel spreadsheet. But I think even on CME website there is a full carry calculator somewhere.
Full financial carry is the cost of getting the commodity delivered at the first expiry, stored and redelivered at the further expiry. If the...
The max carry assuming libor + 2 basis points would be around 16. Assuming LIBOR rate we are touching it.
I closed this trade today with a 2 ticks profit @ -13.5. Fundaman had calculated we were close to full carry and sent me a friendly warning. :)...
Short Jun/ Long Jul?
Long HE V/Z @ -3.3 during the settlement period.
- Historically low.
- Engulfing daily candlestick pattern
Short ZS Nov/Jan @ -13.
- Nov/Jan overvalued compared to Sep/Nov and Jan/Mar on a deseasonalized curve.
- Bearish fundamentals. I guess I don't...
No, not really. I try not to enter too countertrend. I wait for a reversing pattern. Or I go with the trend. But no technical indicators. Volume....
Not cattle. I feel like Z/G and G/J are oversold but on livestock you never know...
Out @ 0.425. Good finish.
Went long @ -4.3.
-Low level compared to the last 20 years but not further back.
-Z/G seems to be bottoming.
Just got out @ -13.5. Intercrop spreads is getting flat so there is no anomaly on the curve anymore. Shitty trade.
I just read some opinions about the consequences of brexit on Brent. Apparently, given the current Brexit talks, the UK will be left "alone" next...
trade talks with China? African Swine fever? Didn't find a satisfactory explanation....
I don't know, but I have been following it for sure:)
Out @ 0.5. 2 ticks gain.
Out @ 38.5. It was forming a double bottom so I prefered to get out. Still a positive trade.
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