TheBigShort
Joined:
May 16, 2018
Posts:
1,384
Likes:
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Gender:
Male
Location:
Canada

TheBigShort

Male, from Canada

here for a good time not a long time Mar 31, 2019

    1. peacefulscenery
      peacefulscenery
      Hi,

      I can't find an option to send you a private message. Can you please PM me or how can I contact you? I found you by reading many comments on several topics on here.

      Thank you,
      Tina
    2. .sigma
      .sigma
      Any thoughts on paying AMD earnings this week?
      1. TheBigShort
        TheBigShort
        I have no view here. Seems like this season short vol is working out across the board
        Apr 26, 2020
        .sigma likes this.
    3. Matt_ORATS
      Matt_ORATS
      Hi and thanks for the mention. We can go over the NVDA slope signals if you like. You can email matt@orats.com and we can compare signals. Like I said that graph is new so it would be great to check our calculations. - Matt
    4. TheBigShort
      TheBigShort
      here for a good time not a long time
      1. Philo Judeaus likes this.
    5. pelman08
      pelman08
      how do you theta weight
    6. optionsinvestor
      optionsinvestor
      The PVH move today is what I saw when I traded PVH before earnings last week. I doubled down to 8 PVH Jun 160 calls at avg 2.825 betting PVH would break out of this base on base pattern.
    7. optionsinvestor
      optionsinvestor
      Looks like PVH jun 155 calls suggest it is pricing in 6.5% move. As for LULU, they are pricing an 8.1% move, but that could change tomorrow as more options are in play.
      1. View previous comments...
      2. optionsinvestor
        optionsinvestor
        Yes, these are definitely different strategies. I'm setting up for directional moves that could take more than one day to follow through, where I see you're looking at locking in IV crush by selling straddles. It will be interesting to see how both plays out and make profit over time.
        May 31, 2018
      3. optionsinvestor
        optionsinvestor
        I used to know someone who would use that strategy too, and the issue occurred when the stock moved beyond the short straddle. He would tell me that the trade would result in -100% losses of initial risk at times. That's why I mentioned that you might not want to blanket the system to all earning reports.
        May 31, 2018
      4. optionsinvestor
        optionsinvestor
        But there are patterns in trading earning reports. Ex. I traded INTU on a pattern where my initial risk on INTU Jun 195 calls was about -$1000, with a net profit of +$975 3 days later. I did without really looking at INTU's fundamental, just pure pattern recognition using optionslam.com too. That site used to have a history of 12 reports for free, but they've since charged you for that.
        May 31, 2018
    8. optionsinvestor
      optionsinvestor
      Did you attempt your system on CRM? I've got PVH Jun 160 calls today with PVH reporting earnings AH. I also have LULU for earnings tomorrow. It'll be interesting to see how both of these play out on your system.
      1. TheBigShort
        TheBigShort
        Yes I closed at the open this mornings for 5.8. small 10% gain. What are the Standard deviations for PVH and LULU sorry dont have time to trade earnings tomorrow or look into this studying for CFA
        May 30, 2018
    9. optionsinvestor
      optionsinvestor
      That's what I have learned over 12 years of trading. Some stocks don't have any sort of predictability during earnings, but others can be easily predicted. Sorry for the long comment.
      1. TheBigShort likes this.
      2. TheBigShort
        TheBigShort
        Thanks for the insight. I will be working on it over the next few days. Thanks
        May 27, 2018
    10. optionsinvestor
      optionsinvestor
      Your best chance is to group certain stocks together, but instead of just looking at growth vs. mature stocks, also look at their reaction to earnings. Better yet, if you can use your strategy on a certain number of stocks to a 100% accuracy, it is more profitable then trying to blanket the entire earning season.
      1. TheBigShort likes this.
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    Gender:
    Male
    Location:
    Canada