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ForexPro
 

Registered: Oct 2005
Posts: 558

 

05-04-06 03:22 PM

Closed at 1.2685 +75pips

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Ivanovich
 

Registered: Oct 2004
Posts: 9243

 

05-04-06 03:31 PM

This has got to be the last surge before a correction. I'm not fading it, that's for sure. But all USD pairs are massively overbought/oversold from a technical perspective, and the balance points to the US from a fundamental perspective.

Interestingly enough, check this out:

"San Francisco, May 4. Overnight, Russia reported that its reserves had climbed $8.6 bln in the week ending April 28th with reserves rising to $225.7 bln and new record highs. The week of April 21st, Russian reserves were the fifth largest in the world. This week, with the $8.6 bln rise, reserves are now the fourth largest in the world, outstripping S. Korean reserves but below China, Japan and Taiwan"s reserves. The prior week of April 21st, Russian reserves rose $5.1 bln and the week before that they rose $3.9 bln. The sharp rise in reserves begs the question as to whether the increase also correlates with the recent gains in the EUR as well, particularly following the April 21st comment from Russia"s Finance Minister Kudrin questioning the dollar"s pre-eminence as the world"s reserve currency.

ITAR-TASS makes a point today to note that Brazil, Russia, Indian and Chinese reserves now surpass the reserve holdings of the G-7 nations at $1.292 tln compared to $1.253 tln for the UK, Germany, Italy, Canada, the US, France and Japan"

Wonder if the Ruskies are behind a lot of this?

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Ivanovich
 

Registered: Oct 2004
Posts: 9243

 

05-04-06 07:26 PM

Wheee...through 1.27

In the months to come, let's see what this begins to do to the EU economy...

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GlobalFinancier
 

Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 688

 

05-04-06 07:36 PM


Quote from GlobalFinancier:

Lol, It seems as if I've been deeply poisoned by fundamental analysis. Now whenever I think long EUR/USD, a picture of Trichet saying rates neutral pops up in my head.
Anyways, long and bullish, this will probably be a long run play...



Ok, the market is totally based on speculation now.
Bull on EUR/USD nonetheless. Like Bank of Canada head Mr Dodge said... the forex markets tend to overshoot.

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downrivertrader
 

Registered: Jan 2006
Posts: 951

 

05-05-06 01:51 AM

While I agree with all the reasons it should not go up anymore..... looks like

1.2738

then

1.2790

then

1.2843


to me.

Sigh.

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GlobalFinancier
 

Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 688

 

05-05-06 01:30 PM

YEAH YEAH YEAH
NFP LOWER, UNEMPLOYMENT UNCHANGED WOOOOHOOOOO!!
Seems like the Feds are gonna save the stock market and real estate market, the USD is on a one way trip to hell!
Might I say that I'm starting to like Ben Bernanke?...

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