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    Forums ›› Community Lounge ›› Politics & Religion ›› Gallup Poll Widens: Romney 51%, Obama 45%  


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pspr
 

Registered: Sep 2002
Posts: 17522

 

10-17-12 06:17 PM

These results are for likely voters, who are the respondents Gallup deems most likely to vote based on their responses to a series of questions asking about current voting intentions, thought given to the election, and past voting behavior. Each seven-day rolling average is based on telephone interviews with approximately 2,700 likely voters; margin of error is ±2 percentage points.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/157817/e...ama-romney.aspx

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hughb
 

Registered: Feb 2007
Posts: 2203

 

10-17-12 06:45 PM

Not too bad for Romney, he's out of the margin of error in the likely voters poll and he just pulled ahead in the registered voters poll, even if they're still in the margin of error on that one. Still too close to call, in my opinion, but it shows Romney's running a decent campaign.

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pspr
 

Registered: Sep 2002
Posts: 17522

 

10-17-12 06:50 PM


Quote from hughb:

Not too bad for Romney, he's out of the margin of error in the likely voters poll and he just pulled ahead in the registered voters poll, even if they're still in the margin of error on that one. Still too close to call, in my opinion, but it shows Romney's running a decent campaign.


I think it is only too close to call because we have one more debate and we have yet to experience Obama's October surprise.

A 5% national lead is quite formidable presented from Gallup. A 5% win in the election is almost a blow out. And, I can't see the battleground states giving the electoral college win to Obama if the popular vote is as wide as 5%. If anything, the vote should widen for Romney as we close in on election day barring a big external news event.

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AK Forty Seven
 

Registered: Jul 2010
Posts: 10842

 

10-17-12 06:52 PM


Quote from pspr:

I think it is only too close to call because we have one more debate and we have yet to experience Obama's October surprise.

A 5% national lead is quite formidable presented from Gallup. A 5% win in the election is almost a blow out. And, I can't see the battleground states giving the electoral college win to Obama if the popular vote is as wide as 5%. If anything, the vote should widen for Romney as we close in on election day barring a big external news event.



Bookmarked for when Obama wins

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Lucrum
 

Registered: Dec 2003
Posts: 31969

 

10-17-12 06:56 PM


Quote from AK Forty Seven:

Bookmarked for when Obama wins



You gonna KEEP it bookmarked if he loses?

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pspr
 

Registered: Sep 2002
Posts: 17522

 

10-17-12 06:58 PM


Quote from Lucrum:

You gonna KEEP it bookmarked if he loses?


He's promised to be an ET ghost if when Obama loses.

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