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RangeTrader
 

Registered: Mar 2012
Posts: 705

 

09-22-12 10:28 AM

Just a couple months off now... Maybe only one month!

When you see the daily chart start getting volatile were getting ready to break! Were almost to two deviations on the monthly.

If you get those price levels around two deviations there is no way you can lose establishing a half a year short position. At the very minimum well see median price levels around 1350 sometime next spring. More likely we see one deviation down.

shortsignal.png
This has been downloaded 350 time(s).

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SatMir
 

Registered: Sep 2012
Posts: 105

 

09-22-12 10:49 AM

you are late to the party

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Moderate
 

Registered: Mar 2006
Posts: 584

 

09-22-12 12:06 PM

good stuff I like how your only using standard deviation

and the acceleration indicator is interesting

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NoDoji
 

Registered: May 2008
Posts: 8120

 

09-22-12 03:28 PM

Been short the S&P since the 14th based on a special "woo woo" indicator

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satchel
 

Registered: Feb 2004
Posts: 2327

 

09-22-12 04:12 PM

Blow off rally into the Elections off of the Oct/Nov 2011 lows. Still a lot of time. You want to sit short for 2 or 3 more months through that?

QE3 just formally announced, great for equities market but little consequence for guy on the street. We are not here to trade the guy on the street. The Fed announcement added this wording. Print it and tape it above your screen, until they remove it: until such improvement is achieved

"If the outlook for the labor market does not improve substantially, the Committee will continue its purchases of agency mortgage-backed securities, undertake additional asset purchases, and employ its other policy tools as appropriate until such improvement is achieved in a context of price stability."

All the other "QE"s were defined but this is QE on steroids? Other tools? WTF? The beatings will continue until morale improves.

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Ash1972
 

Registered: May 2009
Posts: 472

 

09-22-12 04:19 PM

The Fed's logic is impeccable. Let's do unlimited amounts for a third time of what completely failed to work the first two times. Right.

Some people insist on believing the improbable. Well I guess that's why we have religion. And fundamental analysis

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