Registered: Aug 2012
Posts: 228

Before I talk about my portfolios, I will talk about my goals.

My first goal is to try to respond as best as possible to what the market is doing and act appropriately. I am talking about trend-following discipline.

When i expect the market will go up, my market posture is bullish. That means, i΄m buying stocks and Exchange TradedFunds (ETFs). My market posture remains bullish until my "stop" is reached.

When i expect the market will go down,my market posture is bearish. That means, i΄m buying inverse Exchange TradedFunds (ETFs). My market posture remains bearish until my "stop" is reached.

When i don't expect anything, my market posture is neutral. That means, i΄m not buying.

My second goal is to get better knowledge about some ETFs that i usually don΄t trade. (For example: EXS1, DXSN,UPRO, SPXU, TQQQ, SQQQ)

My third goal is to explain in simple terms the reasons for my decisions.

Registered: Aug 2012
Posts: 228

I determine my market posture through a careful analysis of the charts. I observe the market direction - up, down or sideways – with the S&P 500 index, Nasdaq 100 index, Dow Jones index, MSCI ACWI index, Dax index or other leader index where the stock acts. Acting in concert with the market direction, i increase my odds of success.

Registered: Aug 2012
Posts: 228

I pick stocks to buy based on a careful analysis of the historical charts. I also consider other factors, such as net cash from operating activities, volume and beta.

Registered: Aug 2012
Posts: 228

I'm going to have 8 independent portfolios, of which the first 7 are long/short trend-following with ETFs of different leverage, and the eighth, is a long trend-following with US stocks. Plus: I have separate stop-loss limits for each ETF/stock, which is influenced by portfolio volatility/leverage and my perception of trend strength and risk.

Portfolio 1: 1x DAX ETF Portfolio (100% of the benchmark's daily performance)
... uses ISHARES DAX (DE) (EXS1) ETF or DB X-TRACKERS SHORTDAX (DXSN) ETF

Portfolio 2: 1x S&P 500 ETF Portfolio (100% of the benchmark's daily performance)
... uses S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY) ETF or ProShares Short S&P 500 Fund (SH) ETF

Portfolio 3: 2x S&P 500 Leveraged ETF Portfolio (200% of the benchmark's daily performance)
... uses ProShares Ultra S&P 500 Fund (SSO) ETF or ProShares Ultra Short S&P500 (SDS) ETF

Portfolio 4: 3x S&P 500 Leveraged ETF Portfolio (300% of the benchmark's daily performance)
... uses ProSharesUltraPro S&P 500 (UPRO) ETF or ProShares UltraPro Short S&P500 (SPXU) ETF

Portfolio 5: 1x Nasdaq 100 ETF Portfolio (100% of the benchmark's daily performance)
... uses ProShares QQQ Trust (QQQ) ETF or ProShares Short QQQ Fund (PSQ) ETF

Portfolio 6: 2x Nasdaq 100 Leveraged ETF Portfolio (200% of the benchmark's daily performance)
... uses ProSharesUltra QQQ Fund (QLD) ETF or ProShares Ultra Short QQQ (QID) ETF


Portfolio 7: 3x Nasdaq 100 Leveraged ETF Portfolio (300% of the benchmark's daily performance)

... uses ProSharesUltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) ETF or ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (SQQQ) ETF

Portfolio 8: US Stock Portfolio
... is composed by 5 US stocks.

Registered: Aug 2012
Posts: 228

I consider 5 USD or 5 EUR per buy and sell order.

Broker example http://www.interactivebrokers.com

The monetary value of each position is 4000 USD or 3200 EUR.





Rule:

All entries and emergency stops must be sent to this " thread " , with a minimum of 5 minutes before the next market opening and automatically placed on the market after the market opens.

Registered: Aug 2012
Posts: 228

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Quote from Duarte:
Nasdaq 100 Leveraged 200 ETF Portfolio uses ProSharesUltra QQQ Fund (QLD) ETF and ProShares Ultra Short QQQ (QLD) ETF

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