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SPY, long or short?
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Buy 10 33.33%
Sell 20 66.67%
Total: 30 votes 100%
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nocloud
 

Registered: Apr 2011
Posts: 68

 

08-25-12 07:59 AM

Are we at the top or just about to breakthrough? Thoughts/comments?

My inclination is that being election year, we'll have a breakthrough in October (typical breakthrough month) followed by selling spurred by profit taking in Dec as funds move to lock in this year's gains.

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cdcaveman
 

Registered: Aug 2011
Posts: 3518

 

08-25-12 08:25 AM

selling is going to happen sooner then later... volume is light.. won't take much to tip the scales.

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FreakofNature
 

Registered: Jun 2011
Posts: 1062

 

08-25-12 09:25 AM

No valuations at these levels, global economy is weak, volume is extremely low, wait for the price turn in the weekly and then short.

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cdcaveman
 

Registered: Aug 2011
Posts: 3518

 

08-25-12 09:36 AM


Quote from FreakofNature:

No valuations at these levels, global economy is weak, volume is extremely low, wait for the price turn in the weekly and then short.



price turn in the weekly? in the weekly chart?/ i never understand.. people always talk in time frames like daily weekly 5 minute etc.. these are standardized charts i guess? like a daily chart.. is each bar is a day? etc..

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FreakofNature
 

Registered: Jun 2011
Posts: 1062

 

08-25-12 11:12 AM


Quote from cdcaveman:

price turn in the weekly? in the weekly chart?/ i never understand.. people always talk in time frames like daily weekly 5 minute etc.. these are standardized charts i guess? like a daily chart.. is each bar is a day? etc..



Ya each bar is 1 week (Monday to Friday), lower timeframes tend to have too much noise, but when the weekly and especially the monthly turn, tops and temp tops are usually created.

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kjones5159
 

Registered: Aug 2012
Posts: 134

 

08-25-12 05:28 PM

I think the S&P may bounce around in the 1400-1430ish range but we won't be seeing anything higher, take away the Fed's (your/our) stimulus money and what happens to the rally?

People will speculate on QE3 to death, but when they get nearer the previous top around 1500, they'll ask thrmselves "is this a business boom or a speculation bubble? Should I really keep chasing thin air THIS HIGH?"

Aaaaaand...it's gone.

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