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Rod Shaft
 

Registered: Mar 2002
Posts: 163

 

08-08-12 03:54 AM

So I was reading an interview in zerohedge the other day and this caught my eye...

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/inter...requency-trader

A second example: HFTs can model other traders’ behavior. When someone trades through Scottrade or Interactive Brokers, their order has a unique number attached to it – the same number every time a client places an order. This number is bundled with all relevant trade information (time, price, etc.) and sold as an encrypted “enhanced data feed.” An HFT can then use those past results to predict the trader’s behavior.

TCR: So HFTs try to predict what you’re going to do before you do it. Do the brokers admit to selling this information? Can traders opt out?

GARRETT: This data is standard and available to anyone who wants to buy it, so it’s not that HFTs are purchasing illegal information. But the data set is huge and is only of practical use to players with very fast and powerful computers – meaning HFTs. And yes, most brokers I have encountered will allow you to opt out of having your unique number attached to your information.

To be clear, I’m not saying HFTs track your individual account and literally jump in front of you right before you trade. But they do use this information on the aggregate to model traders’ behavior. So an HFT could have a very good idea of when traders on, say, E*TRADE’s book will enter into a certain transaction.


This is the first I've ever heard of this. I have done a bit of google searching and have failed to gather any additional mentions of this sort of behavior. So is this actually happening? If so, it really ought to be illegal (especially if it's in real time). Aside from compromising the integrity of the markets, this would just add fuel to the fire of the increasingly prevalent populist sentiment that seems eager to implement reactionary anti-market policies such as transaction taxes.

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ocean5
 

Registered: Feb 2012
Posts: 934

 

08-08-12 04:03 AM


Quote from Rod Shaft:

So I was reading an interview in zerohedge the other day and this caught my eye...

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/inter...requency-trader

A second example: HFTs can model other traders’ behavior. When someone trades through Scottrade or Interactive Brokers, their order has a unique number attached to it – the same number every time a client places an order. This number is bundled with all relevant trade information (time, price, etc.) and sold as an encrypted “enhanced data feed.” An HFT can then use those past results to predict the trader’s behavior.

TCR: So HFTs try to predict what you’re going to do before you do it. Do the brokers admit to selling this information? Can traders opt out?

GARRETT: This data is standard and available to anyone who wants to buy it, so it’s not that HFTs are purchasing illegal information. But the data set is huge and is only of practical use to players with very fast and powerful computers – meaning HFTs. And yes, most brokers I have encountered will allow you to opt out of having your unique number attached to your information.

To be clear, I’m not saying HFTs track your individual account and literally jump in front of you right before you trade. But they do use this information on the aggregate to model traders’ behavior. So an HFT could have a very good idea of when traders on, say, E*TRADE’s book will enter into a certain transaction.


This is the first I've ever heard of this. I have done a bit of google searching and have failed to gather any additional mentions of this sort of behavior. So is this actually happening? If so, it really ought to be illegal (especially if it's in real time). Aside from compromising the integrity of the markets, this would just add fuel to the fire of the increasingly prevalent populist sentiment that seems eager to implement reactionary anti-market policies such as transaction taxes.



This sort of activity is based more on the hypothetical data,then on the insider`s information.So there is nothing illegal here.

Most traders enter on 50 line xover,so tweak your stoch and enter on 48 line xover. don`t tell anyone.

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vikana
Moderator

Registered: Apr 2001
Posts: 1556

 

08-08-12 04:11 AM

This is actually explained very well in the excellent book "Broken Markets".

It basically means that if you sit e.g. on the bid and decide to take the ask, they can tell it's "the guys from the bid" and move the ask away. I've seen that many many times, so this is a real problem, a really is a form of cheating. Since they are co-located they get the rich data feed quicker than your updated order allows you to hit the ask, and they thus have time to re-price.

If I recall, some of the re-use of order IDs have been stopped, so the problem is not as extreme as described, but it still is.

A simple answer is to not update your order, but to cancel and submit a new one. That helps a bit with being profiled.

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Bob111
 

Registered: May 2002
Posts: 6474

 

08-08-12 04:35 AM

yep..'they' literally running away when you placing the order. specially visible on low volume stocks,when you try to buy or sell a basket of them. this market is beyond FUBAR(talking about stocks). you can't even buy 50 shares on 3 dollar stock without being raped. forget about getting anything at the bid, if you are buying..hey ..you can forget about buying anything at ask either. you try to hit ask-there is will be a trade right before you and shares that you are about to buy will be gone... OR they will move the ask,before your order will reach the exchange. cause they know everything about you.
everybody like low commissions? exchanges and brokers have to find some 'other' sources of income..they now in business to sell any type of data to a higher bidder..just like those 'social media networks'..

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Dustin
 

Registered: May 1999
Posts: 1850

 

08-08-12 04:54 AM


Quote from vikana:

This is actually explained very well in the excellent book "Broken Markets".

It basically means that if you sit e.g. on the bid and decide to take the ask, they can tell it's "the guys from the bid" and move the ask away. I've seen that many many times, so this is a real problem, a really is a form of cheating. Since they are co-located they get the rich data feed quicker than your updated order allows you to hit the ask, and they thus have time to re-price.

If I recall, some of the re-use of order IDs have been stopped, so the problem is not as extreme as described, but it still is.

A simple answer is to not update your order, but to cancel and submit a new one. That helps a bit with being profiled.



I don't remember this part of the book unless you are referring to the section on hidden order ID's. Either way, I hope to see you in Vegas this year, it's been a while!

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Runningbear
 

Registered: May 2002
Posts: 1691

 

08-08-12 04:57 AM

This has no bearing on anyone's trading performance. If you're a winner, they will piggy back your trades and push the market in your direction. if you're a loser, they will fade your trades and you will still be a loser.

Runningbear

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